{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8655212e-b2a1-4a02-8ce9-993b6782fc5f", "symbol": "HOME34", "name": "The Home Depot, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 59.986, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 0.281, "architecture_energy": 5.65, "architecture_maturity": 32.279, "architecture_confidence": 45.951, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.62, "rotation_up": 20.18, "upward_expansion": 22.68, "deceleration": 60.86, "rotation_down": 25.65, "downward_expansion": 52.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.014, 62.245272, 60.603589, 61.053032 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 64.629997, "trend_reference": 62.830318, "distance_from_trend": 0.028643, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 67.763298, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.046239, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.143719, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.085198, "excess_performance": -0.02815, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.028643, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031671, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.046239, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125625, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.081437, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.254298, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.085198, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.577687, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7227, "relative_activity": 1.440919, "balance": 0.577687, "dry_up": 1.566628, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046006, "annualized_volatility": 0.24774, "from_high_reference": -0.20162, "from_low_reference": 0.235658 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 62.830318, "fair_value_reference": 67.763298, "structural_low": 52.304123, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.044559, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.026492, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.160376, "worst_return": -0.132827, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.046747, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.08721, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.222043, "worst_return": -0.165359, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.022616, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.041176, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.365655, "worst_return": -0.085198, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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61.344942 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 60.25, "volume": 16354, "typical_volume": 11276.65, "trend": 63.145732, "fair_value": 67.663936, "relative_strength": -16.650034, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.943188, "energy": 16.981051, "activity_lines": [ 62.080667, 61.641979, 60.098371, 61.137919 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 60.150002, "volume": 566, "typical_volume": 10640.35, "trend": 62.950015, "fair_value": 67.703075, "relative_strength": -17.820657, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.655802, "energy": 14.886028, "activity_lines": [ 61.169334, 61.578916, 60.127861, 60.944646 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 64.629997, "volume": 7227, "typical_volume": 5015.55, "trend": 62.830318, "fair_value": 67.763298, "relative_strength": -8.143719, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": 0.281452, "energy": 5.649682, "activity_lines": [ 62.014, 62.245272, 60.603589, 61.053032 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }