{ "ticker": { "uuid": "86797ead-8efa-4b43-b7d1-2408f7f1bcbd", "symbol": "ALGRO", "name": "Grolleau Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 Anonyme", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.869, "architecture_energy": 32.495, "architecture_maturity": 25.104, "architecture_confidence": 67.695, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.36, "rotation_up": 42.52, "upward_expansion": 72.47, "deceleration": 68.34, "rotation_down": 21.7, "downward_expansion": 3.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.573333, 3.536, 3.378571, 3.216817 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.52, "trend_reference": 3.028667, "distance_from_trend": 0.162228, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.110513, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.143659, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.987619, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.375, "excess_performance": 0.321689, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.162228, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092067, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.143659, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.194747, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.129876, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.163711, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.375, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.091435, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11620, "relative_activity": 0.503034, "balance": 5.091435, "dry_up": 0.448953, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.145105, "annualized_volatility": 0.535136, "from_high_reference": -0.238095, "from_low_reference": 0.478992 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.028667, "fair_value_reference": 4.110513, "structural_low": 2.38, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.034014, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.021685, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.117264, "worst_return": -0.142857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.084691, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.014149, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.084691, "worst_return": -0.084691, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.351792, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.27876, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.351792, "worst_return": -0.351792, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"relative_strength": 15.670265, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.111513, "energy": 30.29498, "activity_lines": [ 3.445333, 3.451636, 3.233429, 3.094796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.4, "volume": 4629, "typical_volume": 22111.35, "trend": 2.964667, "fair_value": 4.142179, "relative_strength": 13.835589, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.35565, "energy": 27.372086, "activity_lines": [ 3.436, 3.457455, 3.267333, 3.124301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.88, "volume": 20869, "typical_volume": 22931.35, "trend": 3.001333, "fair_value": 4.127179, "relative_strength": 27.572016, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.17982, "energy": 38.916313, "activity_lines": [ 3.578667, 3.539636, 3.342952, 3.183355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.52, "volume": 11620, "typical_volume": 23099.85, "trend": 3.028667, "fair_value": 4.110513, "relative_strength": 12.987619, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.869398, "energy": 32.494615, "activity_lines": [ 3.573333, 3.536, 3.378571, 3.216817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }