{ "ticker": { "uuid": "867b6be7-9ae9-47e4-81ba-09df38465c11", "symbol": "688260", "name": "Suzhou Gyz Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.257, "architecture_energy": 25.009, "architecture_maturity": 77.21, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.84, "rotation_up": 29.12, "upward_expansion": 58.87, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 27.44, "downward_expansion": 20.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 93.979332, 98.492181, 87.353618, 73.886257 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 106.199997, "trend_reference": 58.161333, "distance_from_trend": 0.825955, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.68109, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.836554, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 130.010828, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 2.562563, "excess_performance": 2.605767, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.825955, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.648346, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.836554, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.686348, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 1.300108, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.756343, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.562563, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.113582, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47655249, "relative_activity": 1.688949, "balance": 3.113582, "dry_up": 1.40562, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.243047, "annualized_volatility": 1.285935, "from_high_reference": -0.2625, "from_low_reference": 4.205882 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 58.161333, "fair_value_reference": 27.68109, "structural_low": 24.610001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.051288, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.103207, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.161115, "worst_return": -0.30363, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.038245, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.025419, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.315079, "worst_return": -0.186139, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.060115, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.129695, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.356714, "worst_return": -0.562046, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 1.155689, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.91984, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.512044, "worst_return": -0.559076, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.164095, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.226449, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.247604, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.030151, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.183159, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.45101, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.603526, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.115475, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.062153, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.224474, "active": false 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}, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 81.43, "volume": 24278809, "typical_volume": 24869718.25, "trend": 51.827666, "fair_value": 26.231474, "relative_strength": 102.9239, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.041691, "energy": 56.02706, "activity_lines": [ 101.211332, 100.191271, 79.316237, 66.284343 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 72.209999, "volume": 37066571, "typical_volume": 25243664.95, "trend": 53.251333, "fair_value": 26.582051, "relative_strength": 73.416711, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.174707, "energy": 28.003362, "activity_lines": [ 88.425999, 96.323635, 80.27719, 67.599333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 100.080002, "volume": 49642880, "typical_volume": 26513277.15, "trend": 55.581333, "fair_value": 27.106474, "relative_strength": 130.863848, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.311152, "energy": 26.57319, "activity_lines": [ 88.718667, 97.100363, 83.691666, 70.620537 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 106.199997, "volume": 47655249, "typical_volume": 28215926.0, "trend": 58.161333, "fair_value": 27.68109, "relative_strength": 130.010828, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.256567, "energy": 25.009407, "activity_lines": [ 93.979332, 98.492181, 87.353618, 73.886257 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }