{ "ticker": { "uuid": "868669ab-bb7a-4455-be0a-080981d4f4d7", "symbol": "BA", "name": "The Boeing Company", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 66.487, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -2.09, "architecture_energy": 3.421, "architecture_maturity": 36.501, "architecture_confidence": 53.732, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.5, "rotation_up": 25.42, "upward_expansion": 18.08, "deceleration": 48.48, "rotation_down": 32.45, "downward_expansion": 61.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 3880.385352, 3862.045463, 3868.326767, 3868.702304 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 4138.0, "trend_reference": 3919.221004, "distance_from_trend": 0.055822, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3624.085897, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.141805, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.160952, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.014527, "excess_performance": 0.040139, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.055822, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010283, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.141805, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018814, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.03161, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.113303, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.014527, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.622683, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1221, "relative_activity": 0.530973, "balance": 0.622683, "dry_up": 0.627079, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041531, "annualized_volatility": 0.320485, "from_high_reference": -0.070112, "from_low_reference": 0.261585 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3919.221004, "fair_value_reference": 3624.085897, "structural_low": 3410.75, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.022853, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.009816, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.137729, "worst_return": -0.1024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.005575, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.039557, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.217762, "worst_return": -0.073772, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.089091, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.022841, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.127925, "worst_return": -0.073152, 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{ "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.16789, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.054807, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.026279, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.064151, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.102496, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-01-09", 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[ 3771.088021, 3806.469647, 3837.9041, 3854.549272 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4138.0, "volume": 1221, "typical_volume": 2299.55, "trend": 3919.221004, "fair_value": 3624.085897, "relative_strength": 3.160952, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.090248, "energy": 3.420812, "activity_lines": [ 3880.385352, 3862.045463, 3868.326767, 3868.702304 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }