{ "ticker": { "uuid": "868a63e6-8e97-4583-91e3-602ce93f12e4", "symbol": "RPDH", "name": "RBC Quant European Dividend Leaders (CAD Hedged) ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 90.3, "architecture_energy": 78.332, "architecture_maturity": 40.21, "architecture_confidence": 63.58, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.87, "rotation_up": 78.37, "upward_expansion": 89.66, "deceleration": 50.78, "rotation_down": 14.83, "downward_expansion": 14.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.760462, 37.4172, 36.882194, 36.378177 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 38.459999, "trend_reference": 35.689394, "distance_from_trend": 0.077631, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.721712, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.38736, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.438277, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.124458, "excess_performance": 0.004037, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.077631, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055386, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.38736, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042565, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.024383, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014315, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.124458, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.174157, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 400, "relative_activity": 0.286738, "balance": 0.174157, "dry_up": 0.232975, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014924, "annualized_volatility": 0.137471, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.34304 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.689394, "fair_value_reference": 27.721712, "structural_low": 33.32608, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 42, "median_return": 0.012385, "positive_rate": 0.642857, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": 0.001009, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.068147, "worst_return": -0.098214, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.036982, "positive_rate": 0.785714, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": 0.002903, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.1285, "worst_return": -0.045927, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.07648, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.01989, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.145573, "worst_return": -0.128211, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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36.573933, 36.291942, 35.794453, 35.287709 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 36.746487, "volume": 300, "typical_volume": 1040.0, "trend": 34.606875, "fair_value": 27.09516, "relative_strength": 1.965307, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.898057, "energy": 83.795507, "activity_lines": [ 36.634403, 36.412897, 35.920628, 35.437658 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 37.544243, "volume": 300, "typical_volume": 985.0, "trend": 34.806908, "fair_value": 27.203579, "relative_strength": 3.335909, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.690119, "energy": 93.695389, "activity_lines": [ 36.962034, 36.662624, 36.110668, 35.627165 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 36.746487, "volume": 17200, "typical_volume": 1780.0, "trend": 34.978709, "fair_value": 27.304167, "relative_strength": 1.001917, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.691563, "energy": 70.690812, "activity_lines": [ 36.944558, 36.730075, 36.211272, 35.752299 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.195225, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1725.0, "trend": 35.159893, "fair_value": 27.405343, "relative_strength": 2.31181, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.510149, "energy": 66.889077, "activity_lines": [ 37.044673, 36.858378, 36.349072, 35.8953 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.110001, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 1395.0, "trend": 35.328725, "fair_value": 27.504349, "relative_strength": 1.763048, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.23973, "energy": 63.88601, "activity_lines": [ 37.093689, 36.940483, 36.47377, 36.021114 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.91, "volume": 800, "typical_volume": 1410.0, "trend": 35.506799, "fair_value": 27.611674, "relative_strength": 4.333462, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.587075, "energy": 70.886339, "activity_lines": [ 37.374193, 37.13925, 36.660495, 36.187648 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.459999, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 1395.0, "trend": 35.689394, "fair_value": 27.721712, "relative_strength": 2.438277, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.300245, "energy": 78.331838, "activity_lines": [ 37.760462, 37.4172, 36.882194, 36.378177 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }