{ "ticker": { "uuid": "868acdca-aef0-41ee-b068-c8771fcbd844", "symbol": "600801", "name": "Huaxin Building Materials Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 60.757, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 33.246, "architecture_energy": 39.051, "architecture_maturity": 84.379, "architecture_confidence": 92.882, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.46, "rotation_up": 67.59, "upward_expansion": 37.22, "deceleration": 44.43, "rotation_down": 16.7, "downward_expansion": 23.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.611333, 20.23931, 19.957286, 20.473131 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 22.85, "trend_reference": 21.410453, "distance_from_trend": 0.067236, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.202355, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.503057, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.725098, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.086, "excess_performance": -0.042796, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.067236, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05132, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.503057, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079481, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.107251, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10082, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.086, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.592181, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 100429943, "relative_activity": 1.592633, "balance": 1.592181, "dry_up": 1.635127, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083727, "annualized_volatility": 0.440012, "from_high_reference": -0.135779, "from_low_reference": 0.544902 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.410453, "fair_value_reference": 15.202355, "structural_low": 16.4, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.064029, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": 0.05083, "regime_survival": 0.681818, "best_return": 0.393319, "worst_return": -0.161194, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.116897, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": 0.083335, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.276596, "worst_return": -0.125287, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.152461, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.119629, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.322181, "worst_return": -0.036782, "sufficient": 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"activity_lines": [ 18.366667, 18.433611, 19.42529, 20.361821 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.200001, "volume": 107701180, "typical_volume": 59454381.2, "trend": 21.53812, "fair_value": 15.057923, "relative_strength": 7.25032, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.420707, "energy": 16.44734, "activity_lines": [ 19.376, 18.909494, 19.507415, 20.334738 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.299999, "volume": 76771575, "typical_volume": 61135346.15, "trend": 21.466786, "fair_value": 15.129456, "relative_strength": 11.739647, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -0.703036, "energy": 17.698938, "activity_lines": [ 20.579333, 19.559607, 19.704589, 20.383891 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.85, "volume": 100429943, "typical_volume": 63059044.45, "trend": 21.410453, "fair_value": 15.202355, "relative_strength": 10.725098, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.245645, "energy": 39.050999, "activity_lines": [ 21.611333, 20.23931, 19.957286, 20.473131 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }