{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "868f88ef-2173-4484-a3d0-92e59b1510f9",
    "symbol": "AQUA",
    "name": "Aqua Corporation Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -44.68,
    "architecture_energy": 20.953,
    "architecture_maturity": 83.001,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.693,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.07,
        "rotation_up": 24.55,
        "upward_expansion": 17.35,
        "deceleration": 45.0,
        "rotation_down": 35.29,
        "downward_expansion": 58.35
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.106,
        0.105818,
        0.106667,
        0.112774
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.1,
    "trend_reference": 0.123,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.186992,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.252051,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.603255,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -38.320892,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.333333,
    "excess_performance": -0.525658,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.186992,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.106538,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.603255,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005232,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.383209,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000745,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.333333,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.513638,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 42051000,
      "relative_activity": 1.950872,
      "balance": 0.513638,
      "dry_up": 1.312313,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.161538,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.453076,
      "from_high_reference": -0.473684,
      "from_low_reference": 0.111111
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.123,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.252051,
      "structural_low": 0.09,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.354839,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.483871,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018299,
        "regime_survival": 0.83871,
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        "worst_return": -0.272727,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
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        "worst_return": -0.333333,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.125,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
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        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
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        "worst_return": -0.529412,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.25,
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        "best_return": 0.500499,
        "worst_return": -0.588235,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2022-12-09",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2023-02-10",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.11,
        "volume": 9064100,
        "typical_volume": 20017975.0,
        "trend": 0.124667,
        "fair_value": 0.25391,
        "relative_strength": -33.439444,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.618172,
        "energy": 18.13521,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.108,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.1,
        "volume": 42051000,
        "typical_volume": 21554980.0,
        "trend": 0.123,
        "fair_value": 0.252051,
        "relative_strength": -38.320892,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}