{ "ticker": { "uuid": "869ebde0-6a03-4e36-bf0e-afe9f9df4ec0", "symbol": "TWST", "name": "Twist Bioscience Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.227, "architecture_energy": 60.479, "architecture_maturity": 80.987, "architecture_confidence": 67.509, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.41, "rotation_up": 56.48, "upward_expansion": 77.61, "deceleration": 73.94, "rotation_down": 22.06, "downward_expansion": 8.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 99.579667, 96.061273, 83.92181, 74.913892 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 115.67, "trend_reference": 64.0945, "distance_from_trend": 0.804679, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 41.562853, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.783014, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 109.396196, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.349106, "excess_performance": 1.161653, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.804679, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.453346, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.783014, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.212942, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 1.093962, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.809039, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.349106, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.044239, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10875153, "relative_activity": 1.388699, "balance": 3.044239, "dry_up": 0.94778, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.130012, "annualized_volatility": 0.694326, "from_high_reference": -0.022397, "from_low_reference": 3.964378 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 64.0945, "fair_value_reference": 41.562853, "structural_low": 41.52, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.057309, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.030681, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.4456, "worst_return": -0.24608, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.195581, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.150697, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.48157, "worst_return": -0.410707, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.196548, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.047955, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.102236, "worst_return": -0.509751, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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80.694364, 69.111571, 62.360108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 90.635, "volume": 8390165, "typical_volume": 7274221.75, "trend": 55.492167, "fair_value": 39.665737, "relative_strength": 78.202879, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.725236, "energy": 86.318745, "activity_lines": [ 93.396333, 83.975455, 71.94781, 64.755785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 93.85, "volume": 6253786, "typical_volume": 7362122.8, "trend": 57.536833, "fair_value": 40.106378, "relative_strength": 88.80007, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.139093, "energy": 78.810297, "activity_lines": [ 94.45, 87.291364, 74.890024, 67.230484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 90.27, "volume": 5191937, "typical_volume": 7388386.55, "trend": 59.444167, "fair_value": 40.52484, "relative_strength": 81.221852, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.241943, "energy": 60.434202, "activity_lines": [ 93.131667, 89.283636, 77.26781, 69.342301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 91.55, "volume": 7368074, "typical_volume": 7523393.45, "trend": 61.416167, "fair_value": 40.964391, "relative_strength": 79.373704, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.307927, "energy": 51.488628, "activity_lines": [ 92.059333, 90.761364, 79.561167, 71.413645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 115.67, "volume": 10875153, "typical_volume": 7831181.55, "trend": 64.0945, "fair_value": 41.562853, "relative_strength": 109.396196, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.227327, "energy": 60.479436, "activity_lines": [ 99.579667, 96.061273, 83.92181, 74.913892 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }