{ "ticker": { "uuid": "86a13e0b-e275-4c84-a9aa-ecb553fbd4ee", "symbol": "1473", "name": "Tainan Enterprises Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.962, "architecture_energy": 43.901, "architecture_maturity": 97.041, "architecture_confidence": 91.53, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.98, "rotation_up": 26.51, "upward_expansion": 6.49, "deceleration": 55.01, "rotation_down": 48.31, "downward_expansion": 79.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.98, 20.083636, 20.296746, 20.932533 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 20.0, "trend_reference": 21.928899, "distance_from_trend": -0.087962, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.739349, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.279003, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -40.463122, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.172113, "excess_performance": -0.613485, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.087962, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057882, "read": "Falling" 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19.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.006122, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.030867, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.146245, "worst_return": -0.109015, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.024304, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.135348, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.065693, "worst_return": -0.139244, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.137249, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.230951, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.054252, "worst_return": -0.157224, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.976749, "energy": 40.697064, "activity_lines": [ 20.236666, 20.287681, 20.632112, 21.37126 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.9, "volume": 471866, "typical_volume": 507949.65, "trend": 22.178556, "fair_value": 27.765176, "relative_strength": -39.103175, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.001785, "energy": 47.15266, "activity_lines": [ 20.126666, 20.211383, 20.500705, 21.21489 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.85, "volume": 227849, "typical_volume": 486165.8, "trend": 22.047974, "fair_value": 27.750643, "relative_strength": -39.755156, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.232443, "energy": 47.441729, "activity_lines": [ 19.996667, 20.127099, 20.383185, 21.06466 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 20.0, "volume": 374386, "typical_volume": 487782.6, "trend": 21.928899, "fair_value": 27.739349, "relative_strength": -40.463122, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.962115, "energy": 43.900754, "activity_lines": [ 19.98, 20.083636, 20.296746, 20.932533 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }