{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "86b7d62c-6c59-4163-88c4-31f37a40b948",
    "symbol": "BRE",
    "name": "Brembo N.V.",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 91.906,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 32.62,
    "architecture_energy": 18.902,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.373,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.661,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 49.4,
        "rotation_up": 23.5,
        "upward_expansion": 54.52,
        "deceleration": 90.29,
        "rotation_down": 28.73,
        "downward_expansion": 18.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.367667,
        10.458,
        10.354872,
        10.004533
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 10.45,
    "trend_reference": 9.737832,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.073134,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.410001,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.110521,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.913128,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.028382,
    "excess_performance": -0.14251,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073134,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051087,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110521,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032741,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.049131,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.082426,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028382,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.812673,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1993395,
      "relative_activity": 0.827023,
      "balance": 1.812673,
      "dry_up": 1.202801,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.074221,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.555818,
      "from_high_reference": -0.129167,
      "from_low_reference": 0.481267
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.737832,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.410001,
      "structural_low": 7.05477,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.013674,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012991,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.135885,
        "worst_return": -0.232158,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.097587,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.03932,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.306292,
        "worst_return": -0.209372,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.09739,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.115927,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.325218,
        "worst_return": -0.182023,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.05712,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.100333,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.083205,
        "worst_return": -0.197444,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.140309,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.103554,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.146668,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.05798,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.098507,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.004839,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.086646,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "return": 0.100334,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-05-01",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 2437186.45,
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        "fair_value": 9.426065,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 2557280.35,
        "trend": 9.712498,
        "fair_value": 9.417692,
        "relative_strength": -0.904562,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.868604,
        "energy": 18.549057,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.45,
        "volume": 1993395,
        "typical_volume": 2410326.45,
        "trend": 9.737832,
        "fair_value": 9.410001,
        "relative_strength": -4.913128,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.620284,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}