{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "86bef398-ea11-478f-a05b-81db36813ca2",
    "symbol": "EKLD",
    "name": "BNP Paribas Easy MSCI USA SRI PAB UCITS ETF Capitalisation",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.392,
    "architecture_energy": 61.855,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.225,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.963,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.97,
        "rotation_up": 53.95,
        "upward_expansion": 80.7,
        "deceleration": 68.57,
        "rotation_down": 27.18,
        "downward_expansion": 9.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        24.352353,
        24.230922,
        23.920531,
        23.469184
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 25.0604,
    "trend_reference": 22.990247,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.090045,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 21.068128,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.189493,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.081477,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.134638,
    "excess_performance": 0.081326,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090045,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028795,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.189493,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056875,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030815,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001916,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.134638,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.131762,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6628,
      "relative_activity": 0.201078,
      "balance": 2.131762,
      "dry_up": 0.964563,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019816,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.133596,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.210911
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 22.990247,
      "fair_value_reference": 21.068128,
      "structural_low": 20.695499,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.006644,
        "positive_rate": 0.676471,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.676471,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004263,
        "regime_survival": 0.794118,
        "best_return": 0.099995,
        "worst_return": -0.064693,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.015231,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02755,
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        "best_return": 0.096991,
        "worst_return": -0.074004,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.056145,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01855,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.188064,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.09475,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-05",
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        "return": 0.03828,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 27.710351,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 22.921,
        "volume": 43441,
        "typical_volume": 15102.65,
        "trend": 22.16771,
        "fair_value": 20.495301,
        "relative_strength": 1.847135,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.758667,
        "energy": 39.358305,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 16781.8,
        "trend": 22.20396,
        "fair_value": 20.53861,
        "relative_strength": 3.273118,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "energy": 59.074744,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 23.3342,
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        "typical_volume": 18046.1,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 25650.35,
        "trend": 22.281183,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 84.433432,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 29850.35,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 28890.55,
        "trend": 22.433663,
        "fair_value": 20.714806,
        "relative_strength": 5.386752,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 28207.6,
        "trend": 22.506013,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 28087.3,
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        "fair_value": 20.834086,
        "relative_strength": 1.636448,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.695343,
        "energy": 66.039389,
        "activity_lines": [
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          22.892893
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 2169,
        "typical_volume": 27605.4,
        "trend": 22.706076,
        "fair_value": 20.87539,
        "relative_strength": 2.16756,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 28871.8,
        "trend": 22.77259,
        "fair_value": 20.915102,
        "relative_strength": 5.180157,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.174027,
        "energy": 65.442385,
        "activity_lines": [
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          24.042111,
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          23.109049
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 24.095699,
        "volume": 17989,
        "typical_volume": 29557.85,
        "trend": 22.82917,
        "fair_value": 20.95125,
        "relative_strength": 3.5401,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.946665,
        "energy": 64.977837,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.16916,
          24.080667,
          23.585823,
          23.194411
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 23.9555,
        "volume": 62095,
        "typical_volume": 32456.2,
        "trend": 22.874536,
        "fair_value": 20.9862,
        "relative_strength": 2.526552,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.989476,
        "energy": 57.572126,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.12054,
          24.078582,
          23.674855,
          23.267078
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.863899,
        "volume": 40465,
        "typical_volume": 33212.45,
        "trend": 22.91712,
        "fair_value": 21.022425,
        "relative_strength": 0.539806,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.37467,
        "energy": 46.593667,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.04022,
          24.048545,
          23.746824,
          23.330908
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 25.0604,
        "volume": 6628,
        "typical_volume": 32962.35,
        "trend": 22.990247,
        "fair_value": 21.068128,
        "relative_strength": 3.081477,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.392463,
        "energy": 61.854597,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.352353,
          24.230922,
          23.920531,
          23.469184
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}