{ "ticker": { "uuid": "86e0bee9-a091-4834-a9fa-ecc8f63cc18c", "symbol": "WAFU", "name": "Wah Fu Education Group Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.062, "architecture_energy": 28.964, "architecture_maturity": 17.393, "architecture_confidence": 93.609, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.77, "rotation_up": 15.8, "upward_expansion": 2.01, "deceleration": 48.75, "rotation_down": 58.41, "downward_expansion": 80.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.498227, 1.534953, 1.57995, 1.600009 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 1.44, "trend_reference": 1.63157, "distance_from_trend": -0.117415, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.752837, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.178474, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.860495, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.162791, "excess_performance": -0.350244, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.117415, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016208, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.178474, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076729, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.238605, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075821, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.162791, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.058933, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12343620, "relative_activity": 17.939513, "balance": 0.058933, "dry_up": 4.514319, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.2086, "annualized_volatility": 0.230994, "from_high_reference": -0.575221, "from_low_reference": 0.180328 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.63157, "fair_value_reference": 1.752837, "structural_low": 1.22, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.00698, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.433333, "median_excess_return": -0.026876, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.262411, "worst_return": -0.271719, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.003347, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.049221, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.206897, "worst_return": -0.346774, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.006047, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.093241, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.211679, "worst_return": -0.464516, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.034483, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.142157, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.090116, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.049383, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.09, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.023256, "active": 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1.761879, "relative_strength": -14.632048, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.708474, "energy": 40.904564, "activity_lines": [ 1.557267, 1.582873, 1.607695, 1.622814 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.49, "volume": 33982, "typical_volume": 74624.4, "trend": 1.63957, "fair_value": 1.757392, "relative_strength": -17.521951, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.430078, "energy": 42.919951, "activity_lines": [ 1.533413, 1.562185, 1.595751, 1.612885 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.44, "volume": 12343620, "typical_volume": 688068.85, "trend": 1.63157, "fair_value": 1.752837, "relative_strength": -23.860495, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.061954, "energy": 28.963506, "activity_lines": [ 1.498227, 1.534953, 1.57995, 1.600009 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }