{ "ticker": { "uuid": "86ebfaae-2a9f-4048-a8bf-c5d1c49b68cd", "symbol": "LIVEPOLC-1", "name": "El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 69.012, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -14.164, "architecture_energy": 11.588, "architecture_maturity": 32.788, "architecture_confidence": 47.7, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.26, "rotation_up": 33.83, "upward_expansion": 20.86, "deceleration": 35.89, "rotation_down": 26.63, "downward_expansion": 57.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 102.851332, 102.122545, 102.300494, 102.781326 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 104.589996, "trend_reference": 102.950329, "distance_from_trend": 0.015927, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 102.788326, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.017528, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.041222, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.050012, "excess_performance": 0.104679, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.015927, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013136, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.017528, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004311, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.040412, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06719, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.050012, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.549476, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 281194, "relative_activity": 0.304109, "balance": 0.549476, "dry_up": 0.434969, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031983, "annualized_volatility": 0.179633, "from_high_reference": -0.062925, "from_low_reference": 0.247967 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 102.950329, "fair_value_reference": 102.788326, "structural_low": 98.739998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.013312, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.008862, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.159089, "worst_return": -0.143233, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.09571, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.046637, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.211488, "worst_return": -0.042829, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.180385, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.103508, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.182117, "worst_return": 0.073947, "sufficient": false }, { 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101.428, 101.653597, 102.867426, 102.943899 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 100.610001, "volume": 539601, "typical_volume": 1087102.0, "trend": 102.589413, "fair_value": 102.689641, "relative_strength": 0.533882, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.696647, "energy": 18.796624, "activity_lines": [ 101.22, 101.421328, 102.580118, 102.819723 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 100.769997, "volume": 380443, "typical_volume": 1079112.95, "trend": 102.544234, "fair_value": 102.708584, "relative_strength": 0.615811, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.344955, "energy": 20.712822, "activity_lines": [ 101.072666, 101.234438, 102.323737, 102.702341 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 100.489998, "volume": 460756, "typical_volume": 1050717.15, "trend": 102.585421, "fair_value": 102.721786, "relative_strength": 0.858518, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.958935, "energy": 36.464223, "activity_lines": [ 100.820666, 101.053817, 102.064982, 102.56981 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 104.050003, "volume": 486381, "typical_volume": 1022591.7, "trend": 102.776081, "fair_value": 102.756912, "relative_strength": 3.575839, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.438037, "energy": 13.070781, "activity_lines": [ 101.824, 101.562182, 102.16781, 102.664299 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 104.589996, "volume": 281194, "typical_volume": 924648.2, "trend": 102.950329, "fair_value": 102.788326, "relative_strength": 4.041222, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.164206, "energy": 11.588248, "activity_lines": [ 102.851332, 102.122545, 102.300494, 102.781326 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }