{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "86feb23b-2711-4cd4-9888-7ef8a86355db",
    "symbol": "LAZ",
    "name": "Lazard Ltd",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -35.573,
    "architecture_energy": 15.787,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.587,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.388,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.92,
        "rotation_up": 22.59,
        "upward_expansion": 12.45,
        "deceleration": 44.96,
        "rotation_down": 34.01,
        "downward_expansion": 62.45
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        43.091702,
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        44.247047
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 44.2,
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    "distance_from_trend": -0.032033,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 42.423794,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.041868,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -17.782317,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.206469,
    "excess_performance": -0.332094,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032033,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045985,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041868,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.115054,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.177823,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.051719,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.206469,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.019889,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7092432,
      "relative_activity": 0.79276,
      "balance": 1.019889,
      "dry_up": 1.021198,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.099978,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.413791,
      "from_high_reference": -0.239478,
      "from_low_reference": 0.155434
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 45.662711,
      "fair_value_reference": 42.423794,
      "structural_low": 38.254015,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018502,
        "regime_survival": 0.722222,
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        "worst_return": -0.172992,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 56.047084,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 43.842447,
        "volume": 10482103,
        "typical_volume": 9165069.65,
        "trend": 46.103193,
        "fair_value": 42.257685,
        "relative_strength": -15.707524,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.600484,
        "energy": 30.667562,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 41.894992,
        "volume": 10057366,
        "typical_volume": 8976175.45,
        "trend": 45.873791,
        "fair_value": 42.336097,
        "relative_strength": -19.835135,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.542504,
        "energy": 27.259053,
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          42.385316,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 44.2,
        "volume": 7092432,
        "typical_volume": 8946508.0,
        "trend": 45.662711,
        "fair_value": 42.423794,
        "relative_strength": -17.782317,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.573419,
        "energy": 15.786532,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}