{ "ticker": { "uuid": "87090bda-3c7c-42b1-b746-a361fe5f6e59", "symbol": "3226", "name": "LFA Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 66.601, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 43.621, "architecture_energy": 58.418, "architecture_maturity": 9.525, "architecture_confidence": 52.326, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.65, "rotation_up": 66.07, "upward_expansion": 59.65, "deceleration": 24.29, "rotation_down": 18.14, "downward_expansion": 20.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.146666, 48.601818, 46.790476, 46.49871 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 51.799999, "trend_reference": 47.346667, "distance_from_trend": 0.094058, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 50.385619, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.028071, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.389794, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.001934, "excess_performance": -0.439438, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094058, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021136, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.028071, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.216938, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.203898, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.192225, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.001934, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 22.086197, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 273500, "relative_activity": 4.359271, "balance": 22.086197, "dry_up": 2.211896, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070538, "annualized_volatility": 0.355929, "from_high_reference": -0.11453, "from_low_reference": 0.379494 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 47.346667, "fair_value_reference": 50.385619, "structural_low": 37.549999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.029473, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.022246, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.050435, "worst_return": -0.063319, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.074747, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.067392, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.161572, "worst_return": -0.095008, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.061192, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.248155, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.058952, "worst_return": -0.096448, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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44.868095, 45.684086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 46.200001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 39839.05, "trend": 46.435, "fair_value": 50.488482, "relative_strength": -27.953787, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.914567, "energy": 11.27999, "activity_lines": [ 46.06, 46.364546, 44.984762, 45.675376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.400002, "volume": 61025, "typical_volume": 40540.3, "trend": 46.651667, "fair_value": 50.449588, "relative_strength": -21.095799, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.994973, "energy": 21.790313, "activity_lines": [ 47.260001, 46.988182, 45.439524, 45.866667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.599998, "volume": 220571, "typical_volume": 49751.45, "trend": 46.951667, "fair_value": 50.421181, "relative_strength": -18.73837, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.988757, "energy": 43.576919, "activity_lines": [ 48.873334, 47.840909, 46.112857, 46.185914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 51.799999, "volume": 273500, "typical_volume": 62739.85, "trend": 47.346667, "fair_value": 50.385619, "relative_strength": -20.389794, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.620707, "energy": 58.418228, "activity_lines": [ 50.146666, 48.601818, 46.790476, 46.49871 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }