{ "ticker": { "uuid": "870ad7e5-e1fc-45e8-993d-0fbc05c80d07", "symbol": "DIM", "name": "Sartorius Stedim Biotech S.A.", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 60.593, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 9.036, "architecture_energy": 6.314, "architecture_maturity": 26.851, "architecture_confidence": 45.631, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.42, "rotation_up": 34.49, "upward_expansion": 31.44, "deceleration": 54.66, "rotation_down": 34.73, "downward_expansion": 26.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 174.539998, 175.470908, 173.497767, 172.70448 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 177.899994, "trend_reference": 174.787317, "distance_from_trend": 0.017808, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 195.28465, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.089022, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.984994, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.004071, "excess_performance": -0.049241, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.017808, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0483, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.089022, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10002, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.08985, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048004, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.004071, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.797582, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 321211, "relative_activity": 0.882166, "balance": 1.797582, "dry_up": 1.226098, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076664, "annualized_volatility": 0.424966, "from_high_reference": -0.202571, "from_low_reference": 0.186 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 174.787317, "fair_value_reference": 195.28465, "structural_low": 150.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.010189, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.023299, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.133431, "worst_return": -0.195175, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.116739, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.151819, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.207108, "worst_return": -0.303726, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.097473, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.122139, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.058712, "worst_return": -0.366324, 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{ "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.237012, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.188416, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.214264, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.102079, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.028944, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": 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"activity_lines": [ 177.653334, 176.469091, 173.09695, 173.179012 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 168.0, "volume": 367069, "typical_volume": 382270.8, "trend": 175.971691, "fair_value": 195.829746, "relative_strength": -12.055429, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.06107, "energy": 10.336665, "activity_lines": [ 174.206667, 175.045455, 172.845218, 172.580073 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 177.899994, "volume": 321211, "typical_volume": 364116.25, "trend": 174.787317, "fair_value": 195.28465, "relative_strength": -8.984994, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 9.036338, "energy": 6.313536, "activity_lines": [ 174.539998, 175.470908, 173.497767, 172.70448 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }