{ "ticker": { "uuid": "870bfcf2-93c3-4537-96f1-ae2cabe83279", "symbol": "300587", "name": "Zhejiang Tiantie Science and Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.693, "architecture_energy": 37.888, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.328, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.59, "rotation_up": 29.91, "upward_expansion": 20.61, "deceleration": 44.12, "rotation_down": 41.54, "downward_expansion": 70.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.252667, 4.119455, 4.576905, 4.949505 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.99, "trend_reference": 5.414333, "distance_from_trend": -0.078372, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.536006, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.098628, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.874842, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.193861, "excess_performance": -0.201261, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.078372, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.155374, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.098628, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.202028, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.258748, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01001, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.193861, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.778919, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 274544604, "relative_activity": 2.078602, "balance": 0.778919, "dry_up": 1.763153, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.116695, "annualized_volatility": 0.600908, "from_high_reference": -0.479666, "from_low_reference": 0.507553 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.414333, "fair_value_reference": 5.536006, "structural_low": 3.31, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.047745, "positive_rate": 0.37931, "directional_follow_through": 0.62069, "median_excess_return": -0.034144, "regime_survival": 0.896552, "best_return": 0.346126, "worst_return": -0.311031, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.125612, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.061993, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.704401, "worst_return": -0.322761, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.32829, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.254534, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.535507, "worst_return": -0.40783, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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211978124, "typical_volume": 123986499.3, "trend": 5.452333, "fair_value": 5.551797, "relative_strength": -33.840845, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.875792, "energy": 61.199806, "activity_lines": [ 3.857333, 3.972, 4.57819, 4.979333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.99, "volume": 274544604, "typical_volume": 132081369.45, "trend": 5.414333, "fair_value": 5.536006, "relative_strength": -25.874842, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.693216, "energy": 37.887902, "activity_lines": [ 4.252667, 4.119455, 4.576905, 4.949505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }