{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8713f08d-6ab3-4074-a9cf-7a6fe374450e", "symbol": "ROE", "name": "Goshawk Global Balanced UCITS ETF", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 53.837, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.905, "architecture_energy": 57.054, "architecture_maturity": 57.184, "architecture_confidence": 70.739, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.47, "rotation_up": 54.23, "upward_expansion": 82.26, "deceleration": 66.17, "rotation_down": 27.11, "downward_expansion": 8.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.260533, 10.231745, 10.15611, 10.053604 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.348, "trend_reference": 9.942467, "distance_from_trend": 0.040788, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.048321, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.143638, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.390249, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.060681, "excess_performance": -0.003959, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.040788, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024616, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.143638, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002375, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.013902, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071853, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.060681, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.123428, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 1.123428, "dry_up": 0.229334, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.012221, "annualized_volatility": 0.07836, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.154267 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.942467, "fair_value_reference": 9.048321, "structural_low": 9.349, "invalidation": "A 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.792986, "energy": 62.334427, "activity_lines": [ 10.1792, 10.154273, 10.014538, 9.934213 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.274, "volume": 2090, "typical_volume": 1054.35, "trend": 9.8526, "fair_value": 8.977212, "relative_strength": 3.348338, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.047176, "energy": 75.416803, "activity_lines": [ 10.22, 10.1824, 10.049271, 9.963133 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.14, "volume": 667, "typical_volume": 1085.45, "trend": 9.875033, "fair_value": 8.993609, "relative_strength": 2.7842, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.146747, "energy": 59.409528, "activity_lines": [ 10.2076, 10.179527, 10.069162, 9.981675 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.258, "volume": 46, "typical_volume": 1013.0, "trend": 9.9016, "fair_value": 9.010763, "relative_strength": 2.706812, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.737935, "energy": 63.120929, "activity_lines": [ 10.230133, 10.1968, 10.099138, 10.006383 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.21, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 809.6, "trend": 9.924467, "fair_value": 9.028308, "relative_strength": 0.023932, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.754788, "energy": 49.456051, "activity_lines": [ 10.2248, 10.201782, 10.122214, 10.02628 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.348, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 777.25, "trend": 9.942467, "fair_value": 9.048321, "relative_strength": -1.390249, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.905198, "energy": 57.054052, "activity_lines": [ 10.260533, 10.231745, 10.15611, 10.053604 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }