{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8723d5d1-e94d-48e1-96dd-6eff387c0ca8", "symbol": "I1FO34", "name": "Infosys Limited", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.302, "architecture_energy": 62.755, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 90.767, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.0, "rotation_up": 29.85, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 61.0, "rotation_down": 49.82, "downward_expansion": 83.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.622, 29.790829, 30.258496, 31.792958 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 30.42, "trend_reference": 34.964471, "distance_from_trend": -0.129974, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 47.070444, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.353735, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -27.033715, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.354003, "excess_performance": -0.296955, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.129974, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141069, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.353735, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02756, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.270337, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.175924, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.354003, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.881797, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2, "relative_activity": 0.030143, "balance": 0.881797, "dry_up": 1.567445, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030074, "annualized_volatility": 0.441936, "from_high_reference": -0.406207, "from_low_reference": 0.095032 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.964471, "fair_value_reference": 47.070444, "structural_low": 27.780001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.017635, "positive_rate": 0.52, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": -0.026037, "regime_survival": 0.84, "best_return": 0.206547, "worst_return": -0.272697, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.034892, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.070942, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.159549, "worst_return": -0.160274, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.151011, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.212776, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.090794, "worst_return": -0.22101, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.553837, "energy": 75.717083, "activity_lines": [ 29.842, 30.24981, 31.144003, 33.650929 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 29.58, "volume": 12, "typical_volume": 52.45, "trend": 37.133471, "fair_value": 47.223609, "relative_strength": -32.490278, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.086193, "energy": 66.412261, "activity_lines": [ 29.538, 30.125976, 30.872174, 33.117049 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.780001, "volume": 402, "typical_volume": 66.65, "trend": 36.351805, "fair_value": 47.168193, "relative_strength": -35.66645, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.190234, "energy": 76.12448, "activity_lines": [ 28.776, 29.672454, 30.461202, 32.513599 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.42, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 66.25, "trend": 35.658138, "fair_value": 47.120552, "relative_strength": -30.091394, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.367051, "energy": 66.967465, "activity_lines": [ 29.156, 29.736738, 30.347896, 32.130902 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.42, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 66.35, "trend": 34.964471, "fair_value": 47.070444, "relative_strength": -27.033715, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.301835, "energy": 62.755075, "activity_lines": [ 29.622, 29.790829, 30.258496, 31.792958 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }