{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "87287c62-d90e-42ba-900b-fd653979b046",
    "symbol": "EML",
    "name": "Eastern Co",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 42.388,
    "architecture_energy": 27.861,
    "architecture_maturity": 59.017,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.495,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.13,
        "rotation_up": 33.73,
        "upward_expansion": 63.06,
        "deceleration": 88.22,
        "rotation_down": 25.67,
        "downward_expansion": 15.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        24.561333,
        24.833091,
        23.720139,
        22.803603
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 24.9,
    "trend_reference": 21.51047,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.157576,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.429125,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.06278,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.972014,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.293543,
    "excess_performance": 0.106089,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157576,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084194,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06278,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098308,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01972,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.15665,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.293543,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.716045,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 67959,
      "relative_activity": 0.543843,
      "balance": 3.716045,
      "dry_up": 0.534906,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.090891,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.447087,
      "from_high_reference": -0.167503,
      "from_low_reference": 0.430169
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21.51047,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.429125,
      "structural_low": 17.563161,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.000985,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018516,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.130516,
        "worst_return": -0.138311,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.017752,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.059542,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.006343,
        "worst_return": -0.180277,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.111267,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.167112,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.064614,
        "worst_return": -0.214463,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.239242,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.231278,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.190771,
        "worst_return": -0.287712,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.033718,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.0746,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.009828,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.076784,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.103299,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003763,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.081967,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.015401,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.046053,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.046167,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010218,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.001689,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 24870.85,
        "trend": 17.673351,
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 19.28258,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 133005.25,
        "trend": 20.816849,
        "fair_value": 23.248973,
        "relative_strength": 2.368444,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 66.54122,
        "energy": 82.427837,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 25.53,
        "volume": 69846,
        "typical_volume": 132280.65,
        "trend": 21.002802,
        "fair_value": 23.300777,
        "relative_strength": 7.88475,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.974366,
        "energy": 79.666835,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.908,
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          23.184174,
          22.19575
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.22,
        "volume": 97299,
        "typical_volume": 132096.5,
        "trend": 21.135861,
        "fair_value": 23.345271,
        "relative_strength": 4.298299,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.654377,
        "energy": 53.937892,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.449333,
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          23.38008,
          22.403311
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.72,
        "volume": 32265,
        "typical_volume": 126385.4,
        "trend": 21.279606,
        "fair_value": 23.385532,
        "relative_strength": 1.850656,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.527235,
        "energy": 36.361187,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.788,
          24.682182,
          23.500835,
          22.57003
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 24.9,
        "volume": 67959,
        "typical_volume": 124960.75,
        "trend": 21.51047,
        "fair_value": 23.429125,
        "relative_strength": 1.972014,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.387672,
        "energy": 27.861296,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.561333,
          24.833091,
          23.720139,
          22.803603
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}