{ "ticker": { "uuid": "87390b59-d5e6-4633-b516-f8c903a11576", "symbol": "603355", "name": "Kingclean Electric Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 93.502, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.225, "architecture_energy": 41.976, "architecture_maturity": 22.739, "architecture_confidence": 84.785, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.89, "rotation_up": 16.19, "upward_expansion": 6.84, "deceleration": 43.3, "rotation_down": 53.17, "downward_expansion": 77.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.914667, 27.198182, 28.038, 28.705979 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 28.110001, "trend_reference": 29.88, "distance_from_trend": -0.059237, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.545014, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.145243, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.128902, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.130798, "excess_performance": -0.087594, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.059237, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02784, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.145243, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.272611, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.001289, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.16566, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.130798, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.722287, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14568254, "relative_activity": 1.172875, "balance": 0.722287, "dry_up": 1.21207, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.114988, "annualized_volatility": 0.511622, "from_high_reference": -0.277749, "from_low_reference": 0.293603 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.88, "fair_value_reference": 24.545014, "structural_low": 23.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.018404, "positive_rate": 0.55, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": 0.009536, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.248244, "worst_return": -0.137762, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.087578, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.01032, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.717475, "worst_return": -0.178262, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.176206, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.062047, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.682557, "worst_return": -0.208449, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.538683, "energy": 18.297708, "activity_lines": [ 28.48, 28.463455, 29.084381, 29.729376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.0, "volume": 18166309, "typical_volume": 12454090.1, "trend": 30.262, "fair_value": 24.52056, "relative_strength": -10.207897, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.618322, "energy": 40.689302, "activity_lines": [ 26.989334, 27.518182, 28.55681, 29.305764 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.07, "volume": 12941109, "typical_volume": 12101952.75, "trend": 30.114, "fair_value": 24.517358, "relative_strength": -7.448857, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.598234, "energy": 50.9119, "activity_lines": [ 26.082, 26.953818, 28.164857, 28.970796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.9, "volume": 14544684, "typical_volume": 12130030.65, "trend": 30.000667, "fair_value": 24.533749, "relative_strength": 2.35023, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.379065, "energy": 46.392241, "activity_lines": [ 26.473333, 27.038364, 28.082714, 28.827957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.110001, "volume": 14568254, "typical_volume": 12420973.6, "trend": 29.88, "fair_value": 24.545014, "relative_strength": 0.128902, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.225006, "energy": 41.975765, "activity_lines": [ 26.914667, 27.198182, 28.038, 28.705979 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }