{ "ticker": { "uuid": "875d22b1-d9c5-4100-aefc-55581468998b", "symbol": "GFL", "name": "Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 66.349, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 29.297, "architecture_energy": 42.316, "architecture_maturity": 4.557, "architecture_confidence": 69.663, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.88, "rotation_up": 68.79, "upward_expansion": 50.53, "deceleration": 20.92, "rotation_down": 14.35, "downward_expansion": 20.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.651524, 39.400826, 38.348396, 38.967136 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 41.32, "trend_reference": 40.04027, "distance_from_trend": 0.031961, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 40.520936, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.01972, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.619697, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.0278, "excess_performance": -0.153425, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.031961, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04392, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.01972, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.11072, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.136197, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.146597, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.0278, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.563668, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8994665, "relative_activity": 0.668371, "balance": 3.563668, "dry_up": 0.901855, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06213, "annualized_volatility": 0.351292, "from_high_reference": -0.196912, "from_low_reference": 0.239724 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.04027, "fair_value_reference": 40.520936, "structural_low": 33.33, "invalidation": 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"2026-07-24", "close": 39.68, "volume": 8016132, "typical_volume": 12762901.6, "trend": 40.129335, "fair_value": 40.41173, "relative_strength": -14.579187, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.753469, "energy": 18.874822, "activity_lines": [ 39.204675, 37.915369, 37.817567, 38.810221 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 41.32, "volume": 18021487, "typical_volume": 13330359.55, "trend": 40.078474, "fair_value": 40.465982, "relative_strength": -11.320098, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 12.352389, "energy": 27.145846, "activity_lines": [ 40.061969, 38.709006, 38.07905, 38.887038 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.32, "volume": 8994665, "typical_volume": 13457595.65, "trend": 40.04027, "fair_value": 40.520936, "relative_strength": -13.619697, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.296864, "energy": 42.316182, "activity_lines": [ 40.651524, 39.400826, 38.348396, 38.967136 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }