{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "87607990-5e1f-418c-87a9-a161bfc0b678",
    "symbol": "ISCB",
    "name": "ISHARES TRUST MORNINGSTAR SMALL-CAP ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.764,
    "architecture_energy": 59.676,
    "architecture_maturity": 52.619,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.014,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.81,
        "rotation_up": 54.33,
        "upward_expansion": 80.2,
        "deceleration": 65.78,
        "rotation_down": 25.96,
        "downward_expansion": 9.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        75.07052,
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        73.325256,
        71.830808
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 76.79,
    "trend_reference": 70.257947,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.092972,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 58.076433,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.322223,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.772034,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.107745,
    "excess_performance": -0.01788,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092972,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047726,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.322223,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044385,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01772,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013177,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.107745,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.312388,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 20627,
      "relative_activity": 1.017334,
      "balance": 1.312388,
      "dry_up": 1.340691,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025027,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.144106,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002727,
      "from_low_reference": 0.320688
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 70.257947,
      "fair_value_reference": 58.076433,
      "structural_low": 62.77367,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": -0.002219,
        "positive_rate": 0.481481,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.481481,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008257,
        "regime_survival": 0.703704,
        "best_return": 0.055522,
        "worst_return": -0.075663,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.009653,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.134456,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.042812,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.056935,
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        "worst_return": -0.224701,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.192851,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
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        "return": 0.044556,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": 1.538481,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 18418.75,
        "trend": 69.391391,
        "fair_value": 57.578639,
        "relative_strength": 2.925948,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 64.65755,
        "energy": 76.043382,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 73.8546,
        "volume": 40549,
        "typical_volume": 19621.75,
        "trend": 69.657847,
        "fair_value": 57.733031,
        "relative_strength": 2.686064,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.409767,
        "energy": 54.15869,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 74.3245,
        "volume": 35427,
        "typical_volume": 20187.7,
        "trend": 69.960592,
        "fair_value": 57.894643,
        "relative_strength": 2.101166,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.225094,
        "energy": 49.393089,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 76.79,
        "volume": 20627,
        "typical_volume": 20275.55,
        "trend": 70.257947,
        "fair_value": 58.076433,
        "relative_strength": 1.772034,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.763567,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}