{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8767caaa-c08e-4ef0-9a81-c0af19edc883", "symbol": "WEST3", "name": "Westwing Com\u00e9rcio Varejista S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -88.46, "architecture_energy": 95.118, "architecture_maturity": 53.605, "architecture_confidence": 91.719, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.98, "rotation_up": 25.73, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 68.17, "downward_expansion": 97.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.146, 3.394684, 3.662412, 4.250116 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.85, "trend_reference": 4.889858, "distance_from_trend": -0.417161, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.819845, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.635543, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -46.209281, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.532787, "excess_performance": -0.475739, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.417161, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126311, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.635543, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018019, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.462093, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008589, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.532787, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.228655, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 57400, "relative_activity": 0.579301, "balance": 1.228655, "dry_up": 0.387294, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105495, "annualized_volatility": 1.339567, "from_high_reference": -0.659091, "from_low_reference": 0.010638 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.889858, "fair_value_reference": 7.819845, "structural_low": 2.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.05, "positive_rate": 0.258065, "directional_follow_through": 0.741935, "median_excess_return": -0.046758, "regime_survival": 0.935484, "best_return": 0.344538, "worst_return": -0.244898, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.08254, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.069047, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.536313, "worst_return": -0.43125, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.269292, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.308805, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.864583, "worst_return": -0.464706, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.046784, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.262903, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.197802, "worst_return": -0.638889, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-05-12", "end": "2023-07-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.277778, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-08-04", "end": "2023-08-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.422819, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-08-18", "end": "2023-09-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.256039, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-09-22", "end": "2023-10-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.082707, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2023-10-27", "end": "2023-11-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.203252, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-11-10", "end": "2024-01-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.152318, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-01-26", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.563492, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.038095, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.10998, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.049904, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.039698, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.384483, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.025792, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.148724, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 20.700001, "volume": 1083330, "typical_volume": 492953.5, "trend": 12.566667, "fair_value": 37.491667, "relative_strength": 59.635475, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", 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}, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.53, "volume": 57000, "typical_volume": 102035.0, "trend": 5.151859, "fair_value": 8.079909, "relative_strength": -35.48295, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.75, "energy": 41.248582, "activity_lines": [ 3.678801, 3.658385, 4.114113, 4.628906 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.45, "volume": 12900, "typical_volume": 100340.0, "trend": 5.067192, "fair_value": 8.013563, "relative_strength": -36.794217, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.703757, "energy": 88.887097, "activity_lines": [ 3.570667, 3.631715, 3.983181, 4.519109 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.03, "volume": 26200, "typical_volume": 98940.0, "trend": 4.982192, "fair_value": 7.937473, "relative_strength": -45.219263, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.625027, "energy": 94.922709, "activity_lines": [ 3.35, 3.526673, 3.824059, 4.387677 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.85, "volume": 57400, "typical_volume": 99085.0, "trend": 4.889858, "fair_value": 7.819845, "relative_strength": -46.209281, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.460012, "energy": 95.117766, "activity_lines": [ 3.146, 3.394684, 3.662412, 4.250116 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }