{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8774cf24-fd6f-427d-b0a3-a50400caddee", "symbol": "2345", "name": "Accton Technology Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 13.378, "architecture_energy": 11.39, "architecture_maturity": 56.414, "architecture_confidence": 75.138, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 65.29, "rotation_up": 19.31, "upward_expansion": 44.89, "deceleration": 87.02, "rotation_down": 32.08, "downward_expansion": 27.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 2214.247819, 2275.162065, 2312.386687, 2186.692396 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2300.0, "trend_reference": 1959.574174, "distance_from_trend": 0.173724, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 900.892441, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.553024, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.89838, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.948072, "excess_performance": 0.5067, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.173724, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.26852, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.553024, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.837933, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.118984, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.381753, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.948072, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.919068, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14698400, "relative_activity": 0.855201, "balance": 0.919068, "dry_up": 0.833937, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.157654, "annualized_volatility": 0.569548, "from_high_reference": -0.172069, "from_low_reference": 1.622405 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1959.574174, "fair_value_reference": 900.892441, "structural_low": 1235.222545, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.035501, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": 0.003013, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.29548, "worst_return": -0.095082, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.118571, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.079649, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.359173, "worst_return": -0.017365, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.339949, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.407293, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.441113, "worst_return": -0.114235, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 17187070.65, "trend": 1959.574174, "fair_value": 900.892441, "relative_strength": 11.89838, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.377535, "energy": 11.389564, "activity_lines": [ 2214.247819, 2275.162065, 2312.386687, 2186.692396 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }