{ "ticker": { "uuid": "87769aca-0f7e-4c32-ac8c-6759eef504d3", "symbol": "NFLX34", "name": "Netflix, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.265, "architecture_energy": 74.877, "architecture_maturity": 37.164, "architecture_confidence": 90.326, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.78, "rotation_up": 18.64, "upward_expansion": 17.14, "deceleration": 40.92, "rotation_down": 64.97, "downward_expansion": 90.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.292667, 7.469818, 7.975048, 8.364667 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.51, "trend_reference": 8.728, "distance_from_trend": -0.139551, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.852122, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.151616, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.646029, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.114387, "excess_performance": -0.057338, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.139551, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107143, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.151616, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.158516, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.29646, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084606, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.114387, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.651404, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3180112, "relative_activity": 0.923574, "balance": 1.651404, "dry_up": 1.009955, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067602, "annualized_volatility": 0.389527, "from_high_reference": -0.454334, "from_low_reference": 0.124251 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.728, "fair_value_reference": 8.852122, "structural_low": 6.68, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.042744, "positive_rate": 0.294118, "directional_follow_through": 0.705882, "median_excess_return": -0.082237, "regime_survival": 0.823529, "best_return": 0.194821, "worst_return": -0.405024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.05467, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.021841, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.382628, "worst_return": -0.547625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.228333, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.363254, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.089187, "worst_return": -0.374534, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.078981, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.3341, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.010722, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.126586, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.238786, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": 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"typical_volume": 4414650.55, "trend": 8.999667, "fair_value": 8.791212, "relative_strength": -37.973332, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.347887, "energy": 90.647238, "activity_lines": [ 7.498, 7.823273, 8.391286, 8.674667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.16, "volume": 3365281, "typical_volume": 3853947.85, "trend": 8.885667, "fair_value": 8.811212, "relative_strength": -35.687014, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.569813, "energy": 85.952718, "activity_lines": [ 7.340667, 7.651818, 8.22481, 8.555978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.21, "volume": 3199275, "typical_volume": 3621419.7, "trend": 8.799667, "fair_value": 8.830506, "relative_strength": -35.588956, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.174445, "energy": 84.020283, "activity_lines": [ 7.250667, 7.518727, 8.078667, 8.447871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.51, "volume": 3180112, "typical_volume": 3443266.55, "trend": 8.728, "fair_value": 8.852122, "relative_strength": -29.646029, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.264528, "energy": 74.877301, "activity_lines": [ 7.292667, 7.469818, 7.975048, 8.364667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }