{ "ticker": { "uuid": "877dd425-b1a7-417e-b8c0-f3baebb47b62", "symbol": "605303", "name": "Hangzhou Landscaping Incorporated", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 71.558, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -21.747, "architecture_energy": 35.398, "architecture_maturity": 4.152, "architecture_confidence": 51.94, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.48, "rotation_up": 14.89, "upward_expansion": 19.06, "deceleration": 56.3, "rotation_down": 65.65, "downward_expansion": 48.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.991333, 21.662, 23.451, 22.772817 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 21.66, "trend_reference": 21.619, "distance_from_trend": 0.001896, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.974615, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.669414, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 8.276007, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.216171, "excess_performance": 0.259375, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001896, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055615, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.669414, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.472883, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.08276, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.294381, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.216171, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.606162, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20491223, "relative_activity": 0.756377, "balance": 1.606162, "dry_up": 0.883974, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.220399, "annualized_volatility": 0.862609, "from_high_reference": -0.38273, "from_low_reference": 0.77541 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.619, "fair_value_reference": 12.974615, "structural_low": 15.78, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.036799, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.07013, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.036799, "worst_return": 0.036799, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.099356, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.113601, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.099356, "worst_return": 0.099356, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.070837, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.158844, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.070837, "worst_return": 0.070837, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.25483, 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"color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.653185, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0625, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.006547, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.040067, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.029379, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.093416, "active": false 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"typical_volume": 26078202.85, "trend": 21.482667, "fair_value": 12.766603, "relative_strength": 13.700683, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.281297, "energy": 17.393379, "activity_lines": [ 24.445333, 25.895272, 24.824619, 23.276817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.799999, "volume": 31115391, "typical_volume": 26874262.4, "trend": 21.435333, "fair_value": 12.815962, "relative_strength": 0.020391, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.333941, "energy": 20.459615, "activity_lines": [ 22.135333, 24.493818, 24.419238, 23.103742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.9, "volume": 23434247, "typical_volume": 27191534.75, "trend": 21.450333, "fair_value": 12.86359, "relative_strength": -1.165727, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.655872, "energy": 33.851148, "activity_lines": [ 20.425333, 23.230909, 24.022714, 22.940172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.67, "volume": 20751100, "typical_volume": 27579414.75, "trend": 21.473667, "fair_value": 12.909744, "relative_strength": -3.311403, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.426084, "energy": 39.071218, "activity_lines": [ 19.494, 22.054363, 23.597857, 22.760796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.66, "volume": 20491223, "typical_volume": 27091284.6, "trend": 21.619, "fair_value": 12.974615, "relative_strength": 8.276007, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.74673, "energy": 35.397582, "activity_lines": [ 19.991333, 21.662, 23.451, 22.772817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }