{ "ticker": { "uuid": "87849886-3227-4d4d-a520-d0eb98fdef81", "symbol": "IFBAGRO", "name": "IFB Agro Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 81.657, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 24.115, "architecture_energy": 30.499, "architecture_maturity": 23.452, "architecture_confidence": 41.542, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.67, "rotation_up": 51.59, "upward_expansion": 51.25, "deceleration": 25.04, "rotation_down": 22.96, "downward_expansion": 18.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 977.593327, 962.876358, 955.113096, 934.947097 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 973.75, "trend_reference": 956.393333, "distance_from_trend": 0.018148, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 701.678206, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.387744, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.542136, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.011421, "excess_performance": 0.032288, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.018148, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.14117, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.387744, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.261564, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.045421, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.218576, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.011421, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.622998, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18228, "relative_activity": 0.178452, "balance": 0.622998, "dry_up": 0.333293, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088678, "annualized_volatility": 0.570458, "from_high_reference": -0.456006, "from_low_reference": 0.433777 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 956.393333, "fair_value_reference": 701.678206, "structural_low": 679.150024, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.030711, "positive_rate": 0.3125, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": -0.044103, "regime_survival": 0.5625, "best_return": 0.213321, "worst_return": -0.14112, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.046022, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.07656, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.24663, "worst_return": -0.19778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.05892, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.066009, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.468066, "worst_return": -0.158321, "sufficient": true }, { 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"gate": "down", "direction": -8.215226, "energy": 4.868079, "activity_lines": [ 951.996659, 948.353638, 932.979528, 937.884948 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 994.849976, "volume": 24889, "typical_volume": 108057.0, "trend": 999.966665, "fair_value": 696.083014, "relative_strength": 1.402449, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 8.062228, "energy": 11.712989, "activity_lines": [ 970.089986, 955.809087, 942.695002, 936.716237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 978.25, "volume": 61697, "typical_volume": 107121.35, "trend": 979.454999, "fair_value": 698.953847, "relative_strength": -3.015485, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 3.726476, "energy": 15.940141, "activity_lines": [ 977.306657, 959.752722, 949.745478, 935.315162 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 973.75, "volume": 18228, "typical_volume": 102145.0, "trend": 956.393333, "fair_value": 701.678206, "relative_strength": -4.542136, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.114761, "energy": 30.499165, "activity_lines": [ 977.593327, 962.876358, 955.113096, 934.947097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }