{ "ticker": { "uuid": "878e3d07-2904-4d6e-b0da-918a242fa3ae", "symbol": "2641", "name": "Franbo Lines Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.162, "architecture_energy": 38.899, "architecture_maturity": 8.894, "architecture_confidence": 89.717, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.69, "rotation_up": 14.14, "upward_expansion": 6.22, "deceleration": 43.56, "rotation_down": 53.72, "downward_expansion": 77.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.166666, 17.36349, 17.505599, 17.633962 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 17.35, "trend_reference": 18.001265, "distance_from_trend": -0.036179, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.585906, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.066497, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -36.014391, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.081101, "excess_performance": -0.522473, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.036179, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042164, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.066497, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018236, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.360144, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057183, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.081101, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.607708, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4887244, "relative_activity": 0.49083, "balance": 1.607708, "dry_up": 0.485109, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056722, "annualized_volatility": 0.261504, "from_high_reference": -0.228284, "from_low_reference": 0.064417 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.001265, "fair_value_reference": 18.585906, "structural_low": 16.299999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.0002, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.016551, "regime_survival": 0.708333, "best_return": 0.30618, "worst_return": -0.167553, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.016871, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.049945, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.206128, "worst_return": -0.123762, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.005181, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.060146, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.271461, "worst_return": -0.201017, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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18.559372, "relative_strength": -36.00718, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.720342, "energy": 47.225485, "activity_lines": [ 17.15, 17.515683, 17.544212, 17.739058 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.299999, "volume": 4089224, "typical_volume": 10055425.75, "trend": 18.102593, "fair_value": 18.571743, "relative_strength": -34.766734, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.114662, "energy": 49.150706, "activity_lines": [ 17.12, 17.435707, 17.520729, 17.682516 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 17.35, "volume": 4887244, "typical_volume": 9957096.35, "trend": 18.001265, "fair_value": 18.585906, "relative_strength": -36.014391, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.162498, "energy": 38.898505, "activity_lines": [ 17.166666, 17.36349, 17.505599, 17.633962 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }