{ "ticker": { "uuid": "87902918-30af-4c42-9d5e-5a868ec6976e", "symbol": "NWSA", "name": "News Corp A", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 77.071, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.02, "architecture_energy": 58.249, "architecture_maturity": 14.866, "architecture_confidence": 72.149, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.94, "rotation_up": 67.59, "upward_expansion": 86.91, "deceleration": 44.53, "rotation_down": 12.9, "downward_expansion": 11.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.823333, 27.27, 26.754381, 26.228433 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 28.52, "trend_reference": 25.674566, "distance_from_trend": 0.110827, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.913976, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.100564, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.623881, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.272785, "excess_performance": 0.085331, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.110827, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011191, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.100564, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031511, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.056239, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110567, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.272785, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.353801, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27976402, "relative_activity": 1.185464, "balance": 1.353801, "dry_up": 0.80525, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066588, "annualized_volatility": 0.219415, "from_high_reference": -0.094032, "from_low_reference": 0.289985 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.674566, "fair_value_reference": 25.913976, "structural_low": 22.108792, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.015434, "positive_rate": 0.44, "directional_follow_through": 0.44, "median_excess_return": -0.02222, "regime_survival": 0.72, "best_return": 0.127473, "worst_return": -0.150097, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.009591, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.031778, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.223541, "worst_return": -0.124252, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.039727, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.083503, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.245426, "worst_return": -0.221895, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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39.697568, "energy": 19.303618, "activity_lines": [ 25.953333, 26.05, 25.789809, 25.51266 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 27.37, "volume": 17471108, "typical_volume": 23635599.5, "trend": 25.449858, "fair_value": 25.702433, "relative_strength": -11.657143, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.313026, "energy": 29.044117, "activity_lines": [ 26.392, 26.272909, 25.983228, 25.639245 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 28.43, "volume": 14050754, "typical_volume": 23377356.2, "trend": 25.531763, "fair_value": 25.761671, "relative_strength": -3.727928, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.911513, "energy": 59.118126, "activity_lines": [ 27.176667, 26.668, 26.259423, 25.831512 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.76, "volume": 16926596, "typical_volume": 23363221.8, "trend": 25.553354, "fair_value": 25.811894, "relative_strength": -7.375041, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.439538, "energy": 54.611865, "activity_lines": [ 27.221333, 26.733818, 26.356381, 25.910753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.56, "volume": 17060382, "typical_volume": 23326735.1, "trend": 25.602608, "fair_value": 25.864115, "relative_strength": -4.594743, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.762333, "energy": 55.790949, "activity_lines": [ 27.434, 26.929818, 26.518857, 26.040214 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.52, "volume": 27976402, "typical_volume": 23599546.9, "trend": 25.674566, "fair_value": 25.913976, "relative_strength": -5.623881, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.020315, "energy": 58.24898, "activity_lines": [ 27.823333, 27.27, 26.754381, 26.228433 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }