{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8791d069-f9b0-4c02-9bce-c54c328d2bf6",
    "symbol": "FZR",
    "name": "Fitzroy River Corporation Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 96.037,
    "architecture_energy": 92.903,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.126,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.56,
        "rotation_up": 90.07,
        "upward_expansion": 97.41,
        "deceleration": 40.91,
        "rotation_down": 8.56,
        "downward_expansion": 19.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.232333,
        0.222273,
        0.20631,
        0.197022
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 0.25,
    "trend_reference": 0.18575,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.345895,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.140674,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.777164,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 35.13313,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.515152,
    "excess_performance": 0.451446,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.345895,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101829,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.777164,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.556666,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.351331,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.338054,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.515152,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 133.278091,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 487453,
      "relative_activity": 3.333813,
      "balance": 133.278091,
      "dry_up": 2.380323,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.043077,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.328551,
      "from_high_reference": -0.038462,
      "from_low_reference": 0.851852
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.18575,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.140674,
      "structural_low": 0.16,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.380952,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.380952,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01441,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.271169,
        "worst_return": -0.200001,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.015625,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024241,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.312175,
        "worst_return": -0.314285,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.106096,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.120861,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.312175,
        "worst_return": -0.235295,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.004605,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048791,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.029406,
        "worst_return": -0.048675,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
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        "return": 0.153843,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": -0.074077,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 89380.65,
        "trend": 0.176417,
        "fair_value": 0.138569,
        "relative_strength": 23.795677,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.363571,
        "energy": 91.468337,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 12904,
        "typical_volume": 88301.35,
        "trend": 0.17825,
        "fair_value": 0.139034,
        "relative_strength": 31.593497,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 94.423451,
        "energy": 97.397853,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.213667,
          0.206,
          0.19344,
          0.18678
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.225,
        "volume": 452419,
        "typical_volume": 103796.75,
        "trend": 0.180417,
        "fair_value": 0.139527,
        "relative_strength": 30.805303,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.700872,
        "energy": 94.12976,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.218667,
          0.210909,
          0.197167,
          0.189796
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.225,
        "volume": 439378,
        "typical_volume": 121842.2,
        "trend": 0.182583,
        "fair_value": 0.14002,
        "relative_strength": 26.790258,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.7783,
        "energy": 91.91127,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.222,
          0.214727,
          0.200667,
          0.192672
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.25,
        "volume": 487453,
        "typical_volume": 146214.85,
        "trend": 0.18575,
        "fair_value": 0.140674,
        "relative_strength": 35.13313,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 96.037477,
        "energy": 92.902652,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.232333,
          0.222273,
          0.20631,
          0.197022
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}