{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "879ca8b0-7062-4dff-8090-ca6218d546f6",
    "symbol": "P1HC34",
    "name": "Parker-Hannifin Corporation",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 67.13,
    "architecture_energy": 79.447,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.086,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.461,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.17,
        "rotation_up": 75.26,
        "upward_expansion": 61.86,
        "deceleration": 28.98,
        "rotation_down": 16.63,
        "downward_expansion": 24.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        63.482999,
        62.383836,
        60.066469,
        59.849437
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 68.528999,
    "trend_reference": 60.188072,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.138581,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 44.162411,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.55175,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 15.512254,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.09374,
    "excess_performance": 0.150788,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.138581,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020965,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.55175,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.230038,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.155123,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.300236,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09374,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 25.733716,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 80,
      "relative_activity": 0.00539,
      "balance": 25.733716,
      "dry_up": 0.001684,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02365,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.266636,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.410077
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 60.188072,
      "fair_value_reference": 44.162411,
      "structural_low": 53.559547,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.036881,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.031943,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.076458,
        "worst_return": -0.016713,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.040796,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.038095,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.117218,
        "worst_return": 0.015088,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.191529,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.067213,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.371787,
        "worst_return": -0.192047,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.308063,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.041897,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.671032,
        "worst_return": -0.100254,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-09-22",
        "end": "2023-11-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.095343,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.301223,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.062145,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.256146,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.097275,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.081114,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.117193,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.007525,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.219209,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.003434,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.029246,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006569,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.111942,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 24.115398,
        "volume": 8080,
        "typical_volume": 411.0,
        "trend": 21.965235,
        "fair_value": 18.168594,
        "relative_strength": 14.932,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
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      },
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": -4.433613,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 2794.0,
        "trend": 58.408956,
        "fair_value": 40.838718,
        "relative_strength": -14.238079,
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -53.076738,
        "energy": 61.073058,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 3038.0,
        "trend": 58.569492,
        "fair_value": 41.040359,
        "relative_strength": -14.511299,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -63.179298,
        "energy": 75.90377,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 3038.0,
        "trend": 58.716191,
        "fair_value": 41.242001,
        "relative_strength": -11.057881,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -58.415078,
        "energy": 84.35335,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 58.841789,
        "fair_value": 41.443642,
        "relative_strength": -10.396815,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -48.897731,
        "energy": 81.779064,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 2822.0,
        "trend": 58.952136,
        "fair_value": 41.659885,
        "relative_strength": -9.793031,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.084453,
        "energy": 90.759232,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 56.631001,
        "volume": 242260,
        "typical_volume": 14735.0,
        "trend": 59.082826,
        "fair_value": 41.894365,
        "relative_strength": -2.337702,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.817929,
        "energy": 86.681277,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 57.002998,
        "volume": 5440,
        "typical_volume": 15007.0,
        "trend": 59.11769,
        "fair_value": 42.131229,
        "relative_strength": -2.881359,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 57.936199,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 14747.0,
        "trend": 59.363967,
        "fair_value": 42.397754,
        "relative_strength": 6.434019,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -5.112631,
        "energy": 25.763554,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 62.361,
        "volume": 13260,
        "typical_volume": 15408.0,
        "trend": 59.564968,
        "fair_value": 42.668965,
        "relative_strength": 4.696197,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.336136,
        "energy": 46.978057,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 62.950001,
        "volume": 240,
        "typical_volume": 15046.0,
        "trend": 59.746471,
        "fair_value": 42.925711,
        "relative_strength": 4.968621,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 48.542685,
        "energy": 60.536758,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.314734,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 60.599998,
        "volume": 10420,
        "typical_volume": 15566.0,
        "trend": 59.784751,
        "fair_value": 43.167392,
        "relative_strength": -0.928839,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.019717,
        "energy": 51.077866,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 60.599998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 15480.0,
        "trend": 59.822583,
        "fair_value": 43.409074,
        "relative_strength": 1.50305,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.031999,
        "energy": 64.270858,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.373466,
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          58.617181,
          59.138614
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 60.599998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 15380.0,
        "trend": 59.860415,
        "fair_value": 43.650755,
        "relative_strength": 1.377228,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.017142,
        "energy": 46.241538,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.030732,
          60.34339,
          58.822448,
          59.18877
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 61.5,
        "volume": 20,
        "typical_volume": 15188.0,
        "trend": 59.928247,
        "fair_value": 43.884054,
        "relative_strength": 0.692552,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.555695,
        "energy": 41.596113,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.056666,
          60.790581,
          59.115095,
          59.29455
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 68.528999,
        "volume": 80,
        "typical_volume": 14843.0,
        "trend": 60.188072,
        "fair_value": 44.162411,
        "relative_strength": 15.512254,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 67.129933,
        "energy": 79.446857,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.482999,
          62.383836,
          60.066469,
          59.849437
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}