{ "ticker": { "uuid": "879f3e28-c01c-4467-9c3f-ed340659f5af", "symbol": "ETLN", "name": "Eutelsat Communications S.A.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.186, "architecture_energy": 64.363, "architecture_maturity": 97.0, "architecture_confidence": 64.84, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.5, "rotation_up": 29.99, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 61.0, "rotation_down": 45.21, "downward_expansion": 65.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 66.110001, 66.110001, 86.898731, 104.894245 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 66.110001, "trend_reference": 125.62858, "distance_from_trend": -0.473766, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 224.456342, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.705466, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -61.449499, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.58459, "excess_performance": -0.529923, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.473766, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.229104, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.705466, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.371879, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.614495, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.291602, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.58459, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108251, "annualized_volatility": 0.933593, "from_high_reference": -0.739735, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 125.62858, "fair_value_reference": 224.456342, "structural_low": 66.110001, 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"Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.987024, "energy": 68.06844, "activity_lines": [ 66.110001, 72.161496, 101.774227, 117.61441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 66.110001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 6635.0, "trend": 131.830851, "fair_value": 226.865317, "relative_strength": -63.031498, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.610816, "energy": 67.497479, "activity_lines": [ 66.110001, 68.452802, 96.372709, 113.174282 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.110001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 6635.0, "trend": 128.729716, "fair_value": 225.660829, "relative_strength": -62.404279, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.193668, "energy": 66.827005, "activity_lines": [ 66.110001, 66.435637, 91.41421, 108.934227 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 66.110001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 6635.0, "trend": 125.62858, "fair_value": 224.456342, "relative_strength": -61.449499, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.186372, "energy": 64.362722, "activity_lines": [ 66.110001, 66.110001, 86.898731, 104.894245 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }