{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "87a26b1f-daed-4208-8419-9c2916bf08a8",
    "symbol": "IBE",
    "name": "Iberdrola, S.A.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 49.537,
    "architecture_energy": 41.594,
    "architecture_maturity": 53.669,
    "architecture_confidence": 45.727,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.64,
        "rotation_up": 48.6,
        "upward_expansion": 66.8,
        "deceleration": 65.3,
        "rotation_down": 22.3,
        "downward_expansion": 16.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.958,
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        20.520751,
        20.27968
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 20.73,
    "trend_reference": 19.928233,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.040233,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 14.25546,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.45418,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -8.923323,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.068279,
    "excess_performance": -0.105968,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040233,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05051,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.45418,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006315,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089233,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037428,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068279,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.821429,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 1.821429,
      "dry_up": 1.513615,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.028442,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.191499,
      "from_high_reference": -0.040278,
      "from_low_reference": 0.364721
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 19.928233,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.25546,
      "structural_low": 18.69523,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.016802,
        "positive_rate": 0.684211,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.684211,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006435,
        "regime_survival": 0.763158,
        "best_return": 0.12251,
        "worst_return": -0.116612,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "worst_return": -0.022504,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": 0.012993,
        "sufficient": false
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        "typical_volume": 165.65,
        "trend": 18.616037,
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        "relative_strength": -1.602094,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 40.911675,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 18.805136,
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        "relative_strength": -4.897907,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 171.35,
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        "energy": 16.319651,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -7.635939,
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        "energy": 11.723739,
        "activity_lines": [
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 19.112742,
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        "relative_strength": -8.041413,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -9.139604,
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        "energy": 47.183846,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 20,
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        "trend": 19.31478,
        "fair_value": 13.838991,
        "relative_strength": -3.243547,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.251557,
        "energy": 80.537202,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.419083,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 21.413,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 158.3,
        "trend": 19.437224,
        "fair_value": 13.905573,
        "relative_strength": -4.99621,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.723564,
        "energy": 92.699037,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 20.9,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 129.7,
        "trend": 19.549638,
        "fair_value": 13.973869,
        "relative_strength": -6.006857,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.963333,
        "energy": 85.004918,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.987737,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 21.290001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 129.2,
        "trend": 19.663873,
        "fair_value": 14.044087,
        "relative_strength": -2.400026,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.74804,
        "energy": 88.614196,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.156111,
          20.696955,
          20.271222,
          20.0454
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 21.6,
        "volume": 350,
        "typical_volume": 92.0,
        "trend": 19.786304,
        "fair_value": 14.116292,
        "relative_strength": -2.393123,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.566829,
        "energy": 88.414633,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.333397,
          20.930379,
          20.42212,
          20.170311
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 20.610001,
        "volume": 217,
        "typical_volume": 96.8,
        "trend": 19.858474,
        "fair_value": 14.185969,
        "relative_strength": -6.797975,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.416342,
        "energy": 52.637603,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.102201,
          20.94335,
          20.466686,
          20.223453
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.73,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 93.65,
        "trend": 19.928233,
        "fair_value": 14.25546,
        "relative_strength": -8.923323,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.53656,
        "energy": 41.594275,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.958,
          20.960139,
          20.520751,
          20.27968
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}