{ "ticker": { "uuid": "87a5e2ab-1b64-4317-a098-c711c84adeda", "symbol": "SIGMAFA", "name": "Sigma Foods, S.A.B. de C.V.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.068, "architecture_energy": 73.032, "architecture_maturity": 70.433, "architecture_confidence": 80.607, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.57, "rotation_up": 75.91, "upward_expansion": 91.66, "deceleration": 41.96, "rotation_down": 9.19, "downward_expansion": 15.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.111333, 16.705091, 16.436902, 16.247391 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 17.309999, "trend_reference": 16.0216, "distance_from_trend": 0.080416, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.043994, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.232555, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.789685, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.107734, "excess_performance": 0.1624, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.080416, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0278, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.232555, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033354, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.097897, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115913, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.107734, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.211241, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24878013, "relative_activity": 1.27531, "balance": 1.211241, "dry_up": 1.706924, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043061, "annualized_volatility": 0.159591, "from_high_reference": -0.030252, "from_low_reference": 0.269788 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.0216, "fair_value_reference": 14.043994, "structural_low": 15.29, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.003807, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.000328, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.152861, "worst_return": -0.091113, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.013867, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.014792, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.25959, "worst_return": -0.146633, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.013612, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.068668, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.074892, "worst_return": -0.154068, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.613435, "energy": 13.090504, "activity_lines": [ 16.061334, 16.088909, 16.036698, 15.942482 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 16.6, "volume": 35005306, "typical_volume": 14598153.25, "trend": 15.861583, "fair_value": 13.907968, "relative_strength": 6.160549, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.634119, "energy": 28.896016, "activity_lines": [ 16.25, 16.173818, 16.100464, 15.992215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.709999, "volume": 37183022, "typical_volume": 16457304.35, "trend": 15.8977, "fair_value": 13.950104, "relative_strength": 7.214722, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.980065, "energy": 41.46779, "activity_lines": [ 16.438, 16.272364, 16.170071, 16.046952 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.66, "volume": 36124438, "typical_volume": 18263526.25, "trend": 15.965483, "fair_value": 13.998139, "relative_strength": 12.166106, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.45707, "energy": 70.891352, "activity_lines": [ 16.887333, 16.53, 16.324995, 16.160648 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.309999, "volume": 24878013, "typical_volume": 19507426.9, "trend": 16.0216, "fair_value": 14.043994, "relative_strength": 9.789685, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.067503, "energy": 73.031802, "activity_lines": [ 17.111333, 16.705091, 16.436902, 16.247391 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }