{ "ticker": { "uuid": "87b9ffb9-4f71-4718-a677-1d047d042262", "symbol": "002774", "name": "IFE Elevators Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.303, "architecture_energy": 54.347, "architecture_maturity": 54.66, "architecture_confidence": 78.197, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.27, "rotation_up": 71.11, "upward_expansion": 82.93, "deceleration": 59.78, "rotation_down": 13.21, "downward_expansion": 7.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.13, 15.292909, 13.926685, 13.114338 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 16.790001, "trend_reference": 12.350529, "distance_from_trend": 0.359456, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.318913, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.018293, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 43.775351, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.528242, "excess_performance": 0.520843, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.359456, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.152283, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.018293, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.420356, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.437754, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.436701, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.528242, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.766171, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 63021404, "relative_activity": 1.51388, "balance": 1.766171, "dry_up": 1.801267, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.134926, "annualized_volatility": 0.550045, "from_high_reference": -0.048725, "from_low_reference": 0.971135 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.350529, "fair_value_reference": 8.318913, "structural_low": 9.522915, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.020507, "positive_rate": 0.419355, "directional_follow_through": 0.419355, "median_excess_return": -0.000893, "regime_survival": 0.709677, "best_return": 0.303763, "worst_return": -0.389022, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.048888, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": 0.046363, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.363551, "worst_return": -0.27291, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.028921, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.054164, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.204012, "worst_return": -0.254284, "sufficient": true }, { 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.630664, "energy": 78.816267, "activity_lines": [ 14.792667, 13.715637, 12.746297, 12.234786 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.639999, "volume": 77388000, "typical_volume": 37613730.1, "trend": 11.904729, "fair_value": 8.206093, "relative_strength": 58.643295, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.889827, "energy": 87.729737, "activity_lines": [ 15.901333, 14.539091, 13.284001, 12.623204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.82, "volume": 79528900, "typical_volume": 40299720.05, "trend": 12.092681, "fair_value": 8.256217, "relative_strength": 34.447126, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.195505, "energy": 62.61777, "activity_lines": [ 15.713333, 14.755454, 13.521265, 12.811286 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.790001, "volume": 63021404, "typical_volume": 41629073.25, "trend": 12.350529, "fair_value": 8.318913, "relative_strength": 43.775351, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.303083, "energy": 54.346891, "activity_lines": [ 16.13, 15.292909, 13.926685, 13.114338 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }