{ "ticker": { "uuid": "87c920fa-180e-4f5f-ae61-780d7197fa3e", "symbol": "GENT", "name": "Gentian Diagnostics ASA", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 2.221, "architecture_energy": 17.155, "architecture_maturity": 18.904, "architecture_confidence": 51.116, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.67, "rotation_up": 46.35, "upward_expansion": 37.5, "deceleration": 39.24, "rotation_down": 14.4, "downward_expansion": 41.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.06, 38.976364, 38.674473, 39.246617 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 40.700001, "trend_reference": 41.49052, "distance_from_trend": -0.019053, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 45.578904, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.107043, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -24.479799, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.286289, "excess_performance": -0.411283, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.019053, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12079, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.107043, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057635, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.244798, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.120896, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.286289, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.590101, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11860, "relative_activity": 0.390865, "balance": 0.590101, "dry_up": 0.676986, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069741, "annualized_volatility": 0.716874, "from_high_reference": -0.312459, "from_low_reference": 0.190058 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.49052, "fair_value_reference": 45.578904, "structural_low": 34.200001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.013314, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.0208, "regime_survival": 0.5625, "best_return": 0.125668, "worst_return": -0.351536, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.080645, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.07147, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.202632, "worst_return": -0.33, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.003001, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.027117, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.349398, "worst_return": -0.358571, "sufficient": true }, 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38.390089, 40.832499 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 37.0, "volume": 936, "typical_volume": 59970.15, "trend": 44.266175, "fair_value": 45.763098, "relative_strength": -32.049256, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.006982, "energy": 42.765071, "activity_lines": [ 36.553334, 36.78914, 38.203739, 40.327013 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 38.400002, "volume": 28246, "typical_volume": 48433.2, "trend": 43.645312, "fair_value": 45.714402, "relative_strength": -28.292008, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.128723, "energy": 29.543005, "activity_lines": [ 37.206668, 36.927273, 38.153061, 39.94855 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 40.200001, "volume": 6022, "typical_volume": 43590.15, "trend": 43.097604, "fair_value": 45.683517, "relative_strength": -25.15949, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.910317, "energy": 17.54011, "activity_lines": [ 38.333334, 37.494546, 38.299551, 39.726272 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.799999, "volume": 35143, "typical_volume": 35739.6, "trend": 42.595758, "fair_value": 45.644423, "relative_strength": -27.09096, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.62581, "energy": 17.691977, "activity_lines": [ 39.0, 37.96, 38.402094, 39.513523 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.799999, "volume": 29142, "typical_volume": 31910.3, "trend": 42.041294, "fair_value": 45.599683, "relative_strength": -26.607407, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.435566, "energy": 18.221149, "activity_lines": [ 39.506667, 38.42, 38.49834, 39.333152 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.700001, "volume": 11860, "typical_volume": 30342.95, "trend": 41.49052, "fair_value": 45.578904, "relative_strength": -24.479799, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 2.221429, "energy": 17.154746, "activity_lines": [ 40.06, 38.976364, 38.674473, 39.246617 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }