{ "ticker": { "uuid": "87cd9979-6f02-4735-a1eb-49f54302bf96", "symbol": "CRWN", "name": "Crown Capital Partners Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.679, "architecture_energy": 37.263, "architecture_maturity": 77.548, "architecture_confidence": 64.97, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.07, "rotation_up": 41.5, "upward_expansion": 67.26, "deceleration": 65.5, "rotation_down": 25.39, "downward_expansion": 17.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.275333, 1.288364, 1.042238, 0.914925 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.22, "trend_reference": 0.782333, "distance_from_trend": 0.559438, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.3625, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.483598, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 52.663829, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.033333, "excess_performance": 0.912912, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.559438, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.305339, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.483598, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.301244, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.526638, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.712636, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.033333, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.416149, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 900, "relative_activity": 0.182927, "balance": 4.416149, "dry_up": 0.315041, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.247163, "annualized_volatility": 1.381405, "from_high_reference": -0.357895, "from_low_reference": 2.8125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.782333, "fair_value_reference": 2.3625, "structural_low": 0.51, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.013423, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.578947, "median_excess_return": 0.020182, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.109215, "worst_return": -0.04502, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.033709, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.062783, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.198347, "worst_return": -0.073034, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.070345, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.168123, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.232993, "worst_return": -0.03734, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.09375, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.194805, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.130841, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.21875, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.166667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", 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-24.828968, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.680108, "energy": 66.007907, "activity_lines": [ 0.547333, 0.566909, 0.576571, 0.587312 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 1.1, "volume": 69800, "typical_volume": 4310.0, "trend": 0.614667, "fair_value": 2.60859, "relative_strength": 53.565629, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.493895, "energy": 71.832269, "activity_lines": [ 0.731333, 0.661455, 0.626286, 0.619828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 1.9, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 4295.0, "trend": 0.661333, "fair_value": 2.570449, "relative_strength": 157.619998, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.074766, "energy": 95.882118, "activity_lines": [ 1.145333, 0.892364, 0.74981, 0.702753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.79, "volume": 7300, "typical_volume": 4660.0, "trend": 0.709333, "fair_value": 2.531603, "relative_strength": 138.094858, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.465273, "energy": 96.058662, "activity_lines": [ 1.431333, 1.079636, 0.856524, 0.77557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.59, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 4670.0, "trend": 0.737333, "fair_value": 2.491474, "relative_strength": 109.102482, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.666721, "energy": 88.218396, "activity_lines": [ 1.57, 1.208909, 0.938381, 0.832387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.18, "volume": 2100, "typical_volume": 4750.0, "trend": 0.748667, "fair_value": 2.448718, "relative_strength": 54.08523, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.339347, "energy": 87.073365, "activity_lines": [ 1.502, 1.246182, 0.976333, 0.860946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.13, "volume": 3000, "typical_volume": 4900.0, "trend": 0.764667, "fair_value": 2.405641, "relative_strength": 47.203078, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.872906, "energy": 56.981762, "activity_lines": [ 1.374667, 1.264364, 1.006429, 0.885548 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.22, "volume": 900, "typical_volume": 4920.0, "trend": 0.782333, "fair_value": 2.3625, "relative_strength": 52.663829, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.678836, "energy": 37.26315, "activity_lines": [ 1.275333, 1.288364, 1.042238, 0.914925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }