{ "ticker": { "uuid": "87e69c3d-87ac-4615-99e8-e4b73747eb0c", "symbol": "BYD", "name": "Beyond Securities Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.808, "architecture_energy": 46.414, "architecture_maturity": 19.796, "architecture_confidence": 88.449, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.8, "rotation_up": 16.16, "upward_expansion": 6.23, "deceleration": 47.63, "rotation_down": 65.87, "downward_expansion": 84.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.464, 0.470909, 0.483952, 0.494882 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.46, "trend_reference": 0.509667, "distance_from_trend": -0.097449, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.776832, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.741112, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -25.715703, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.021277, "excess_performance": -0.213602, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.097449, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039573, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.741112, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041506, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.257157, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104503, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.021277, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.38687, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15615000, "relative_activity": 0.757817, "balance": 0.38687, "dry_up": 0.607788, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068562, "annualized_volatility": 0.57652, "from_high_reference": -0.5, "from_low_reference": 0.314286 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.509667, "fair_value_reference": 1.776832, "structural_low": 0.43, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.05, "positive_rate": 0.322581, "directional_follow_through": 0.645161, "median_excess_return": -0.07054, "regime_survival": 0.903226, "best_return": 0.363636, "worst_return": -0.433884, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.196396, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.174285, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.198198, "worst_return": -0.684659, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.365766, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.317693, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.4, "worst_return": -0.622159, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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0.493333, 0.504903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.47, "volume": 8667200, "typical_volume": 21913915.0, "trend": 0.515, "fair_value": 1.851062, "relative_strength": -25.773908, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.346377, "energy": 58.365693, "activity_lines": [ 0.472, 0.481273, 0.490619, 0.501785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.46, "volume": 8012300, "typical_volume": 20544020.0, "trend": 0.512, "fair_value": 1.814267, "relative_strength": -26.33624, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.698498, "energy": 53.423935, "activity_lines": [ 0.467333, 0.475455, 0.48719, 0.498237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.46, "volume": 15615000, "typical_volume": 20605240.0, "trend": 0.509667, "fair_value": 1.776832, "relative_strength": -25.715703, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.80775, "energy": 46.41403, "activity_lines": [ 0.464, 0.470909, 0.483952, 0.494882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }