{ "ticker": { "uuid": "87e848a1-9a20-4147-a323-aeeb6020fdfb", "symbol": "QGRW", "name": "WisdomTree US Quality Growth UCITS ETF - USD Acc", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 86.327, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.954, "architecture_energy": 53.547, "architecture_maturity": 56.792, "architecture_confidence": 59.201, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.98, "rotation_up": 50.53, "upward_expansion": 78.65, "deceleration": 68.86, "rotation_down": 26.95, "downward_expansion": 7.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.384667, 36.125091, 35.71769, 34.728054 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 37.625, "trend_reference": 33.5765, "distance_from_trend": 0.120575, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.632788, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.269708, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.838294, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.218229, "excess_performance": 0.047337, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.120575, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035992, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.269708, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044067, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.018383, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023725, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.218229, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.808088, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8431, "relative_activity": 1.915288, "balance": 0.808088, "dry_up": 1.628312, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031393, "annualized_volatility": 0.203832, "from_high_reference": -0.005024, "from_low_reference": 0.300778 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.5765, "fair_value_reference": 29.632788, "structural_low": 28.924999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.0221, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.026316, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.020854, "worst_return": -0.052382, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.050875, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.105351, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.050875, "worst_return": -0.050875, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.005191, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.122644, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.005191, "worst_return": -0.005191, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.504335, "energy": 49.994514, "activity_lines": [ 35.986999, 35.949272, 35.098547, 34.151268 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.735001, "volume": 4421, "typical_volume": 3747.8, "trend": 33.314666, "fair_value": 29.515123, "relative_strength": -3.492786, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.407517, "energy": 49.183379, "activity_lines": [ 35.932, 35.891727, 35.272642, 34.31429 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.525002, "volume": 11228, "typical_volume": 4029.9, "trend": 33.422, "fair_value": 29.565626, "relative_strength": -4.613165, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.758203, "energy": 40.959212, "activity_lines": [ 35.825667, 35.810454, 35.405928, 34.456892 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.625, "volume": 8431, "typical_volume": 4401.95, "trend": 33.5765, "fair_value": 29.632788, "relative_strength": -1.838294, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.953807, "energy": 53.54708, "activity_lines": [ 36.384667, 36.125091, 35.71769, 34.728054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }