{ "ticker": { "uuid": "87ef17c2-8f49-4192-b634-570e19336755", "symbol": "2081", "name": "Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -83.144, "architecture_energy": 91.11, "architecture_maturity": 22.457, "architecture_confidence": 81.022, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.65, "rotation_up": 8.32, "upward_expansion": 21.34, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 86.14, "downward_expansion": 99.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 102.763335, 107.492728, 113.095239, 115.013119 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 99.050003, "trend_reference": 117.318334, "distance_from_trend": -0.155716, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 138.241214, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.283499, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.360485, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.181405, "excess_performance": -0.149576, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.155716, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059944, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.283499, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.197106, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.193605, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.157739, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.181405, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.345045, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 963467, "relative_activity": 2.117927, "balance": 0.345045, "dry_up": 1.291902, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059178, "annualized_volatility": 0.223843, "from_high_reference": -0.361471, "from_low_reference": 0.006606 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 117.318334, "fair_value_reference": 138.241214, 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.062744, "energy": 65.152603, "activity_lines": [ 114.293333, 116.77091, 118.631905, 119.152881 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 107.800003, "volume": 335372, "typical_volume": 421530.5, "trend": 119.902496, "fair_value": 138.396788, "relative_strength": -12.315729, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.716328, "energy": 76.623695, "activity_lines": [ 111.573334, 114.818183, 117.610953, 118.331636 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 106.5, "volume": 401269, "typical_volume": 420815.45, "trend": 119.071182, "fair_value": 138.391127, "relative_strength": -13.650393, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.402278, "energy": 81.547061, "activity_lines": [ 109.32, 112.956364, 116.502858, 117.466959 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 100.0, "volume": 650690, "typical_volume": 411322.5, "trend": 118.013334, "fair_value": 138.32145, "relative_strength": -16.981597, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.974112, "energy": 89.434251, "activity_lines": [ 105.686667, 110.125455, 114.808572, 116.23656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 99.050003, "volume": 963467, "typical_volume": 454910.45, "trend": 117.318334, "fair_value": 138.241214, "relative_strength": -19.360485, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.14397, "energy": 91.109751, "activity_lines": [ 102.763335, 107.492728, 113.095239, 115.013119 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }