{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8804c701-2820-4261-bdbd-c63a57290f17", "symbol": "MRX", "name": "Marex Group plc Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.157, "architecture_energy": 37.448, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 58.796, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.05, "rotation_up": 41.02, "upward_expansion": 67.07, "deceleration": 65.4, "rotation_down": 26.29, "downward_expansion": 17.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 63.100667, 63.195636, 60.230756, 56.177901 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 60.81, "trend_reference": 50.897416, "distance_from_trend": 0.194756, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.864521, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.695548, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 23.268974, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.512928, "excess_performance": 0.325474, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.194756, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.207654, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.695548, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019483, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.23269, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016062, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.512928, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.710535, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2741630, "relative_activity": 0.57562, "balance": 0.710535, "dry_up": 0.677958, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095826, "annualized_volatility": 0.529997, "from_high_reference": -0.145687, "from_low_reference": 1.20416 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 50.897416, "fair_value_reference": 35.864521, "structural_low": 33.858735, 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"direction": 73.955043, "energy": 82.360779, "activity_lines": [ 64.222, 61.371112, 56.658744, 52.558241 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 60.16, "volume": 3600085, "typical_volume": 5014929.35, "trend": 48.348477, "fair_value": 35.149166, "relative_strength": 29.73334, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.967968, "energy": 55.598905, "activity_lines": [ 62.986, 61.527466, 57.462835, 53.365968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 65.56, "volume": 3239097, "typical_volume": 4861187.8, "trend": 49.224143, "fair_value": 35.406885, "relative_strength": 42.440537, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.555976, "energy": 54.664301, "activity_lines": [ 63.67, 62.596364, 58.700225, 54.476389 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 64.92, "volume": 3335419, "typical_volume": 4823693.15, "trend": 50.132424, "fair_value": 35.654895, "relative_strength": 39.213692, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.024642, "energy": 50.064513, "activity_lines": [ 64.093333, 63.376182, 59.733032, 55.489025 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 60.81, "volume": 2741630, "typical_volume": 4762916.35, "trend": 50.897416, "fair_value": 35.864521, "relative_strength": 23.268974, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.157369, "energy": 37.44775, "activity_lines": [ 63.100667, 63.195636, 60.230756, 56.177901 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }