{ "ticker": { "uuid": "88059450-3500-4f1e-8f98-fe5fe314be8b", "symbol": "W1DA34", "name": "Workday, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 52.255, "architecture_energy": 54.367, "architecture_maturity": 22.674, "architecture_confidence": 57.942, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.23, "rotation_up": 69.63, "upward_expansion": 59.53, "deceleration": 23.08, "rotation_down": 20.07, "downward_expansion": 20.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 47.6, 45.419818, 43.441143, 43.233484 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 53.0, "trend_reference": 44.785333, "distance_from_trend": 0.183423, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 75.380257, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.296898, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -15.076371, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.023166, "excess_performance": 0.080214, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.183423, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.18502, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.296898, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.19992, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.150764, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.38309, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.023166, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 11.223915, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3686, "relative_activity": 2.6746, "balance": 11.223915, "dry_up": 0.80833, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09389, "annualized_volatility": 0.647096, "from_high_reference": -0.358819, "from_low_reference": 0.526938 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.785333, "fair_value_reference": 75.380257, "structural_low": 34.709999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.025898, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.027037, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.173657, "worst_return": -0.07849, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.08612, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.117337, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.290957, "worst_return": -0.21671, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.177971, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.241094, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.211533, "worst_return": -0.517717, 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{ "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.04947, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.002937, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.160599, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.024127, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.115202, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-21", 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"activity_lines": [ 41.866, 41.923272, 41.188238, 43.558215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 44.240002, "volume": 1182, "typical_volume": 1513.25, "trend": 48.261667, "fair_value": 75.95609, "relative_strength": -35.795789, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.779943, "energy": 13.531419, "activity_lines": [ 42.536667, 42.458727, 41.440095, 43.230452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 45.18, "volume": 457, "typical_volume": 1454.15, "trend": 47.25, "fair_value": 75.816539, "relative_strength": -31.739782, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -0.56056, "energy": 10.947602, "activity_lines": [ 43.704667, 43.051273, 41.787476, 43.031634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.799999, "volume": 7, "typical_volume": 1197.9, "trend": 46.074, "fair_value": 75.642116, "relative_strength": -37.230701, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.297527, "energy": 15.74682, "activity_lines": [ 43.129333, 42.731455, 41.705, 42.615505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.0, "volume": 306, "typical_volume": 1200.55, "trend": 45.347333, "fair_value": 75.497244, "relative_strength": -26.423234, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 10.68057, "energy": 16.754944, "activity_lines": [ 44.784667, 43.694545, 42.345476, 42.739763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 53.0, "volume": 3686, "typical_volume": 1378.15, "trend": 44.785333, "fair_value": 75.380257, "relative_strength": -15.076371, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.25548, "energy": 54.367101, "activity_lines": [ 47.6, 45.419818, 43.441143, 43.233484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }