{ "ticker": { "uuid": "880a6973-a06f-4b00-bca9-325059cdd5c4", "symbol": "AB9", "name": "ABO Energy GmbH & Co. KGaA", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.926, "architecture_energy": 64.213, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.066, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.21, "rotation_up": 27.77, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.95, "rotation_down": 55.59, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.557667, 3.636091, 4.340738, 4.755237 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.52, "trend_reference": 5.254667, "distance_from_trend": -0.330119, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 34.235225, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.897182, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -77.893432, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.378092, "excess_performance": -0.442732, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.330119, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.453569, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.897182, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05437, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.778934, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036966, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.378092, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.393342, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26612, "relative_activity": 1.478297, "balance": 1.393342, "dry_up": 1.118596, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.146853, "annualized_volatility": 0.741097, "from_high_reference": -0.9133, "from_low_reference": 0.159802 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.254667, "fair_value_reference": 34.235225, "structural_low": 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"relative_strength": -80.254286, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.964944, "energy": 90.03071, "activity_lines": [ 3.632667, 4.294182, 4.968524, 5.367957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.595, "volume": 12237, "typical_volume": 18948.9, "trend": 6.071833, "fair_value": 35.198094, "relative_strength": -79.134934, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.42394, "energy": 87.276975, "activity_lines": [ 3.575, 4.070364, 4.796286, 5.189333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.475, "volume": 8802, "typical_volume": 18183.9, "trend": 5.787667, "fair_value": 34.87004, "relative_strength": -79.09591, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.748951, "energy": 69.697323, "activity_lines": [ 3.545333, 3.869909, 4.625405, 5.021796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.64, "volume": 32896, "typical_volume": 17975.2, "trend": 5.504, "fair_value": 34.543044, "relative_strength": -77.587617, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.017442, "energy": 65.644391, "activity_lines": [ 3.572333, 3.743364, 4.482452, 4.883237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.52, "volume": 26612, "typical_volume": 18001.8, "trend": 5.254667, "fair_value": 34.235225, "relative_strength": -77.893432, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.925657, "energy": 64.212547, "activity_lines": [ 3.557667, 3.636091, 4.340738, 4.755237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }