{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8815c91c-7635-42e5-b09e-0c6236321964", "symbol": "SAH", "name": "Sonic Automotive Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.903, "architecture_energy": 46.815, "architecture_maturity": 56.993, "architecture_confidence": 67.824, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.72, "rotation_up": 56.33, "upward_expansion": 79.57, "deceleration": 67.36, "rotation_down": 21.09, "downward_expansion": 6.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 91.550667, 90.291723, 85.583541, 80.569108 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 82.44, "trend_reference": 74.165411, "distance_from_trend": 0.111569, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 62.218671, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.325004, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.389159, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.334765, "excess_performance": 0.20914, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.111569, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.131354, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.325004, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051106, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.023892, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010987, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.334765, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.820235, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1762656, "relative_activity": 1.312596, "balance": 0.820235, "dry_up": 1.146209, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.116575, "annualized_volatility": 0.42523, "from_high_reference": -0.274743, "from_low_reference": 0.54074 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 74.165411, "fair_value_reference": 62.218671, "structural_low": 53.50677, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.032856, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.042412, "regime_survival": 0.576923, "best_return": 0.093754, "worst_return": -0.186651, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.015102, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.014561, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.115025, "worst_return": -0.253256, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.009881, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.060923, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.233135, "worst_return": -0.178181, "sufficient": true }, { 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"direction": 84.554529, "energy": 62.347972, "activity_lines": [ 87.120507, 84.442784, 79.239407, 74.973534 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 100.37, "volume": 1434108, "typical_volume": 1425920.4, "trend": 71.322883, "fair_value": 61.363574, "relative_strength": 29.987564, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.719633, "energy": 81.643959, "activity_lines": [ 92.063333, 87.71247, 81.743197, 76.928162 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 99.82, "volume": 985745, "typical_volume": 1390097.45, "trend": 72.530777, "fair_value": 61.708036, "relative_strength": 29.732696, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.26558, "energy": 84.286424, "activity_lines": [ 95.744667, 90.526414, 84.011991, 78.766686 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 91.58, "volume": 1974364, "typical_volume": 1390694.35, "trend": 73.551683, "fair_value": 61.998176, "relative_strength": 17.546511, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.559709, "energy": 66.080409, "activity_lines": [ 95.406667, 91.365441, 85.309152, 79.995668 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 82.44, "volume": 1762656, "typical_volume": 1342877.65, "trend": 74.165411, "fair_value": 62.218671, "relative_strength": 2.389159, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.902699, "energy": 46.814998, "activity_lines": [ 91.550667, 90.291723, 85.583541, 80.569108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }