{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8834503d-aa43-46fe-bc14-47b5e8529505",
    "symbol": "XVOLB",
    "name": "Volcan Compa\u00f1\u00eda Minera S.A.A.",
    "exchange": "MCE",
    "country": "ES",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^IBEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 26.242,
    "architecture_energy": 24.019,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.227,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.441,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.85,
        "rotation_up": 41.61,
        "upward_expansion": 46.9,
        "deceleration": 41.92,
        "rotation_down": 29.35,
        "downward_expansion": 9.9
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.2312,
        0.229527,
        0.219819,
        0.216563
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.228,
    "trend_reference": 0.2179,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.046352,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.100474,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.269236,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.974304,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.142857,
    "excess_performance": -0.267288,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046352,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113629,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.269236,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068922,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089743,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.229507,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.142857,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.440298,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 50529,
      "relative_activity": 0.948959,
      "balance": 2.440298,
      "dry_up": 0.821468,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.089744,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.579018,
      "from_high_reference": -0.234899,
      "from_low_reference": 3.145455
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.2179,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.100474,
      "structural_low": 0.163,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.043804,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.041958,
        "worst_return": -0.293103,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.023139,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.068397,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.111111,
        "worst_return": -0.206897,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.119032,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.028939,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 1.848485,
        "worst_return": -0.470588,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.020979,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.13181,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 2.838384,
        "worst_return": -0.458824,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.090909,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.166667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.059829,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.027273,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.203704,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.634146,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.081633,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.538462,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022222,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.039604,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.135922,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.057851,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.086,
        "volume": 43200,
        "typical_volume": 24519.5,
        "trend": 0.1049,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.361281,
        "energy": 31.140732,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.200374
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 0.198,
        "volume": 146462,
        "typical_volume": 190686.45,
        "trend": 0.189967,
        "fair_value": 0.089987,
        "relative_strength": 31.924996,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 12.053136,
        "energy": 15.828045,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 206445,
        "typical_volume": 196103.7,
        "trend": 0.191133,
        "fair_value": 0.090654,
        "relative_strength": 39.355741,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.806914,
        "energy": 15.668139,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.20234
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 108192,
        "typical_volume": 187860.25,
        "trend": 0.192933,
        "fair_value": 0.091295,
        "relative_strength": 31.439839,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.826049,
        "energy": 20.033508,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.202933,
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          0.203299
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 153297,
        "typical_volume": 188116.3,
        "trend": 0.195667,
        "fair_value": 0.091974,
        "relative_strength": 30.164854,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.222861,
        "energy": 21.366657,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.207467,
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          0.204529
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 0.202,
        "volume": 650,
        "typical_volume": 169461.1,
        "trend": 0.1977,
        "fair_value": 0.092628,
        "relative_strength": 22.141426,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.31325,
        "energy": 18.619625,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.206267,
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          0.204938
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 0.212,
        "volume": 63511,
        "typical_volume": 141088.2,
        "trend": 0.200067,
        "fair_value": 0.09341,
        "relative_strength": 23.454426,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
          0.2084,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 13796,
        "typical_volume": 84942.5,
        "trend": 0.2034,
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        "relative_strength": 29.941413,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.524768,
        "energy": 47.375368,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 0.222,
        "volume": 45,
        "typical_volume": 84944.75,
        "trend": 0.2059,
        "fair_value": 0.095183,
        "relative_strength": 20.911978,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.354377,
        "energy": 45.987593,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.219867,
          0.213673,
          0.206057,
          0.209249
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.222,
        "volume": 6500,
        "typical_volume": 85269.75,
        "trend": 0.208633,
        "fair_value": 0.095965,
        "relative_strength": 16.583371,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.511075,
        "energy": 46.235558,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.221733,
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          0.207271,
          0.210288
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.242,
        "volume": 32393,
        "typical_volume": 86889.4,
        "trend": 0.2114,
        "fair_value": 0.096875,
        "relative_strength": 27.948129,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.992688,
        "energy": 56.025817,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.2296,
          0.221782,
          0.2106,
          0.212441
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.234,
        "volume": 22529,
        "typical_volume": 73839.65,
        "trend": 0.214433,
        "fair_value": 0.097734,
        "relative_strength": 22.786072,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.25535,
        "energy": 41.104095,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.232133,
          0.225055,
          0.213281,
          0.213899
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.23,
        "volume": 37016,
        "typical_volume": 63464.0,
        "trend": 0.216767,
        "fair_value": 0.098756,
        "relative_strength": 16.610651,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.950796,
        "energy": 34.111511,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.231867,
          0.226945,
          0.215505,
          0.214903
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.232,
        "volume": 64888,
        "typical_volume": 51325.25,
        "trend": 0.2175,
        "fair_value": 0.099705,
        "relative_strength": 14.718709,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.015658,
        "energy": 32.99913,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.232533,
          0.228836,
          0.217881,
          0.215886
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.228,
        "volume": 50529,
        "typical_volume": 53246.75,
        "trend": 0.2179,
        "fair_value": 0.100474,
        "relative_strength": 8.974304,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.242067,
        "energy": 24.019108,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.2312,
          0.229527,
          0.219819,
          0.216563
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}