{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8836a2b5-84b8-44e7-8754-284fc2f84116",
    "symbol": "3437",
    "name": "Advanced Optoelectronic Technology Inc.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-21",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 90.177,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -35.913,
    "architecture_energy": 60.155,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.02,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.06,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.93,
        "rotation_up": 20.59,
        "upward_expansion": 22.02,
        "deceleration": 44.33,
        "rotation_down": 63.27,
        "downward_expansion": 61.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        17.43,
        18.135455,
        20.08,
        20.641613
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 17.6,
    "trend_reference": 20.411667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.137748,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 21.495833,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.181237,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -27.217168,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.139159,
    "excess_performance": -0.206574,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.137748,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082177,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.181237,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.403602,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.272172,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.320872,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.139159,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.286051,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1777249,
      "relative_activity": 0.129615,
      "balance": 0.286051,
      "dry_up": 0.160888,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.124344,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.734412,
      "from_high_reference": -0.4377,
      "from_low_reference": 0.359073
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 20.411667,
      "fair_value_reference": 21.495833,
      "structural_low": 14.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.006943,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023121,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.045372,
        "worst_return": -0.084211,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.134216,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04015,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.074792,
        "worst_return": -0.16421,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.064272,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026964,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.684211,
        "worst_return": -0.228275,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.229076,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.108829,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.567867,
        "worst_return": -0.109714,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.16323,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.150655,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.121324,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.326964,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.117647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.176656,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.078292,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.081433,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "violet",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.031056,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.263844,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.160757,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.050746,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 17.549999,
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        "typical_volume": 805957.5,
        "trend": 18.915,
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        "relative_strength": -10.616227,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 15860314.1,
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        "relative_strength": -29.122343,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -39.57552,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
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        "typical_volume": 14293215.6,
        "trend": 20.258333,
        "fair_value": 21.494551,
        "relative_strength": -27.663191,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -39.638017,
        "energy": 65.457341,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 17.5,
        "volume": 1828711,
        "typical_volume": 14032321.3,
        "trend": 20.336667,
        "fair_value": 21.493269,
        "relative_strength": -29.157488,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -37.744606,
        "energy": 64.431159,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 17.6,
        "volume": 1777249,
        "typical_volume": 13711720.55,
        "trend": 20.411667,
        "fair_value": 21.495833,
        "relative_strength": -27.217168,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.912941,
        "energy": 60.155479,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}