{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "883ef10e-44bf-41b6-bbc8-515931d78df6",
    "symbol": "TFII",
    "name": "TFI International Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 37.147,
    "architecture_energy": 23.423,
    "architecture_maturity": 68.453,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.179,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.77,
        "rotation_up": 31.9,
        "upward_expansion": 60.48,
        "deceleration": 85.38,
        "rotation_down": 30.04,
        "downward_expansion": 21.82
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        201.437332,
        204.513607,
        203.111906,
        193.607575
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 196.139999,
    "trend_reference": 181.200857,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.082445,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 164.405905,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.193023,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.386426,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.183308,
    "excess_performance": 0.062887,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082445,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157133,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.193023,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004618,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103864,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.123662,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.183308,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.482441,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1161100,
      "relative_activity": 1.214095,
      "balance": 2.482441,
      "dry_up": 1.312647,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.067648,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.376312,
      "from_high_reference": -0.12635,
      "from_low_reference": 0.740331
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 181.200857,
      "fair_value_reference": 164.405905,
      "structural_low": 133.072373,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.042851,
        "positive_rate": 0.705882,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.705882,
        "median_excess_return": 0.042069,
        "regime_survival": 0.470588,
        "best_return": 0.332714,
        "worst_return": -0.085973,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.071798,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.038289,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.505367,
        "worst_return": -0.005545,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.163094,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.051212,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.273426,
        "worst_return": -0.192658,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.213675,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.200315,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.683893,
        "worst_return": 0.012712,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.058547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.052743,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.098473,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.041022,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.332979,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.000943,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.074307,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.030455,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005927,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.166612,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.023456,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.332714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.101704,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.102663,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 1175730.0,
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 163.372739,
        "relative_strength": 23.809024,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 218.580002,
        "volume": 1116000,
        "typical_volume": 922475.0,
        "trend": 176.042453,
        "fair_value": 163.783629,
        "relative_strength": 28.782749,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 64.8693,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 212.429993,
        "volume": 959300,
        "typical_volume": 914715.0,
        "trend": 178.334019,
        "fair_value": 164.108507,
        "relative_strength": 24.087468,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.834808,
        "energy": 50.13644,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 189.389999,
        "volume": 1785000,
        "typical_volume": 950280.0,
        "trend": 179.789168,
        "fair_value": 164.243961,
        "relative_strength": 10.597386,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.176927,
        "energy": 31.020515,
        "activity_lines": [
          204.717332,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 196.139999,
        "volume": 1161100,
        "typical_volume": 956350.0,
        "trend": 181.200857,
        "fair_value": 164.405905,
        "relative_strength": 10.386426,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.146983,
        "energy": 23.422708,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}