{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "883f523f-c145-4bbf-bcf3-0472df0d0190",
    "symbol": "NOKN",
    "name": "Nokia Oyj",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -31.366,
    "architecture_energy": 52.284,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.12,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.579,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.71,
        "rotation_up": 14.03,
        "upward_expansion": 23.09,
        "deceleration": 55.79,
        "rotation_down": 71.5,
        "downward_expansion": 50.42
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        165.279749,
        186.217147,
        205.128527,
        196.15242
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 160.550003,
    "trend_reference": 178.686778,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.1015,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 101.004152,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.589539,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 8.046048,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.327194,
    "excess_performance": 0.381861,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.1015,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.196271,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.589539,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.914217,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08046,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.660785,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.327194,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.321829,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4781,
      "relative_activity": 0.392279,
      "balance": 0.321829,
      "dry_up": 2.469201,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.17761,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.563808,
      "from_high_reference": -0.464815,
      "from_low_reference": 1.115393
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 178.686778,
      "fair_value_reference": 101.004152,
      "structural_low": 117.980287,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.033332,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005587,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.072727,
        "worst_return": -0.259225,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.203202,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.171587,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.261244,
        "worst_return": -0.232281,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.154193,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.043043,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 1.0359,
        "worst_return": -0.027273,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.055116,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006157,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.3281,
        "worst_return": -0.217869,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-02-09",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.02439,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.145807,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009499,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.350964,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.117647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.055297,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.010101,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.182551,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.150327,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.306505,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.076305,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": 0.735693,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 91.019069,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 96.637998,
        "relative_strength": 59.794036,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.906886,
        "energy": 48.480905,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 42,
        "typical_volume": 6659.2,
        "trend": 168.959131,
        "fair_value": 97.543935,
        "relative_strength": 48.376478,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 216.732622,
        "volume": 4095,
        "typical_volume": 6860.2,
        "trend": 172.352322,
        "fair_value": 98.509251,
        "relative_strength": 52.33396,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.02534,
        "energy": 28.157754,
        "activity_lines": [
          221.286401,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 177.97351,
        "volume": 103548,
        "typical_volume": 11803.1,
        "trend": 174.453543,
        "fair_value": 99.235611,
        "relative_strength": 23.619343,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 7.918881,
        "energy": 21.809033,
        "activity_lines": [
          204.539685,
          222.15135,
          217.622523,
          199.48222
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 157.255526,
        "volume": 7575,
        "typical_volume": 12140.05,
        "trend": 175.764219,
        "fair_value": 99.82264,
        "relative_strength": 8.699957,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -17.420586,
        "energy": 31.24356,
        "activity_lines": [
          186.133408,
          208.218504,
          213.408395,
          198.37267
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 158.0,
        "volume": 4472,
        "typical_volume": 12158.45,
        "trend": 177.199656,
        "fair_value": 100.401746,
        "relative_strength": 7.347626,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.774125,
        "energy": 44.048125,
        "activity_lines": [
          173.091588,
          195.981462,
          209.173311,
          197.226591
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 160.550003,
        "volume": 4781,
        "typical_volume": 12187.75,
        "trend": 178.686778,
        "fair_value": 101.004152,
        "relative_strength": 8.046048,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -31.365643,
        "energy": 52.284268,
        "activity_lines": [
          165.279749,
          186.217147,
          205.128527,
          196.15242
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}