{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "88438a3e-43e7-4852-a356-f3923928ab1b",
    "symbol": "OPM",
    "name": "OPmobility SE",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -75.411,
    "architecture_energy": 81.939,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.615,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.272,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.69,
        "rotation_up": 9.8,
        "upward_expansion": 18.79,
        "deceleration": 37.47,
        "rotation_down": 81.26,
        "downward_expansion": 96.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.772667,
        13.216182,
        14.042497,
        14.365365
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 12.48,
    "trend_reference": 14.816249,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.157682,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 11.448845,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.090066,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -19.298834,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.226179,
    "excess_performance": -0.27949,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.157682,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021991,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090066,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.280582,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.192988,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.328035,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.226179,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.375594,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 462456,
      "relative_activity": 1.087716,
      "balance": 0.375594,
      "dry_up": 1.149345,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.071746,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.357254,
      "from_high_reference": -0.289243,
      "from_low_reference": 0.013135
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 14.816249,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.448845,
      "structural_low": 12.33,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": -0.02146,
        "positive_rate": 0.464286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.535714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027864,
        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
        "best_return": 0.16863,
        "worst_return": -0.21636,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.055374,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013607,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.212079,
        "worst_return": -0.380051,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.088258,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.09904,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.128139,
        "worst_return": -0.263367,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.175263,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.243866,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.650744,
        "worst_return": -0.32838,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038907,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010742,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.188899,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.037717,
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 471648.1,
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        "relative_strength": -8.780009,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 477977.8,
        "trend": 15.182943,
        "fair_value": 11.518757,
        "relative_strength": -10.12071,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.263915,
        "energy": 74.386093,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.792,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 13.12,
        "volume": 370344,
        "typical_volume": 450478.05,
        "trend": 15.113948,
        "fair_value": 11.498105,
        "relative_strength": -11.814677,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.936827,
        "energy": 78.458472,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.474,
          14.144727,
          14.593072,
          14.818613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.73,
        "volume": 652932,
        "typical_volume": 447574.85,
        "trend": 15.035497,
        "fair_value": 11.478843,
        "relative_strength": -14.657809,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.14659,
        "energy": 81.371727,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.166,
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          14.405236,
          14.66481
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.85,
        "volume": 468901,
        "typical_volume": 437013.35,
        "trend": 14.935908,
        "fair_value": 11.463113,
        "relative_strength": -15.078894,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.62289,
        "energy": 78.255085,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.004667,
          13.515273,
          14.237917,
          14.52381
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.48,
        "volume": 462456,
        "typical_volume": 425162.35,
        "trend": 14.816249,
        "fair_value": 11.448845,
        "relative_strength": -19.298834,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.411409,
        "energy": 81.938785,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.772667,
          13.216182,
          14.042497,
          14.365365
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}